Posted on 02/06/2017 7:07:29 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
By one measure, Wisconsin was the most important state in the nation in November. According to FiveThirtyEight’s tipping-point calculation, it was the state that put Donald Trump over the top to 270 electoral votes and the White House. (Or at least arguably it did: Pennsylvania has a competing tipping-point claim.1
) So here’s an interesting question: How many times did Hillary Clinton visit Wisconsin during the general election? The answer: Zip, zilch, nada. She didn’t set foot in the Badger State after losing the Democratic primary there to Sen. Bernie Sanders in April.2
So, case closed, right? Clinton had an incompetent Electoral College strategy and maybe even blew the election because of it? Well, yes and no. She probably should have campaigned in a broader range of states. In particular, she should have spent more time in states, such as Wisconsin, where she was narrowly leading in polls but that had the potential to flip to Trump if the election tightened, as it did during the final 10 days of the campaign.
This very probably didn’t cost Clinton the election, however — and the importance of Electoral College tactics is probably overstated in general. I’m going to save that discussion for the next article in this series, but in the meantime … I come in praise of Trump’s Electoral College approach and in criticism of Clinton’s. Indeed, Trump was pretty close to having an optimal Electoral College strategy as judged by our tipping-point calculation. Clinton made a couple of mistakes, meanwhile. So did campaign reporters, who usually lauded Clinton’s strategy while maligning Trump’s, making essentially the same errors that the Clinton campaign did.
Which states did the candidates consider to be most important? Perhaps the best gauge is simply where Clinton and Trump spent their time....
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
CAPTAIN OBVIOUS STRIKES AGAIN!!!!
She lost the general election in 2016 for the same reason that she lost the dem nomination in 2008; she played to not lose, and was beaten by an opponent that ran an aggressive, innovative campaign.
I’m reminded of a quote from the movie Gattaca. The main character of the movie, Vincent, explains how he overcame the disadvantage of his birth as an “invalid”; a person born not thru genetic selection.
“You want to know how I did it? This is how I did it, Anton: I never saved anything for the swim back.”
I believe she took time off because of her health. She could not afford to collapse again in public. That was a calculated risk and it cost her.
they are, apparently, incapable of accepting even the slightest bit of blame for their losses over the past 8 years which doesn’t bode well for their future endeavors IMO. Their general game plan seems to be to stick with the “Putin did it” lie (while ignoring the 2010 and 2014 elections) and undermining the Trump presidency as much as possible in hopes of exploiting the inherent lability of our two party system in 2018 and 2020. I think we can easily counter that plan.
Particularly the white american male.
“Donald Trump Had A Superior Electoral College Strategy”
Captain Nate “No Path To 270”” Silver had decided being Captain Obvious was a safer way to go.
Men are the creators and innovators and developers. Men are problem solvers at the core. Always been our innate talent/abilty.
Women may gestate a baby, but men make the world worth living in through our inherent natural problem solving abilities.
Yes, I believe that Hillary couldn't physically keep up with Trump.
But I also know for a fact that whenever she held public "rallies" that she couldn't draw flies.
She put all of her marbles into small fundraisers with billionaires and celebrity donors, and millions in TV ads.
She hated the "little people" and it showed.
Trump put in the work to reach out to the deplorables.
While it may have been "nice" for Trump to have also got the total pop vote, it may have been risky as well--look at how in 2000 Bush wasted precious time and resources campaigning in CA yet not only lost the pop vote, but damn near lost the election! Of course the DWI and networks calling FL early had an impact, but Bush should've just written off CA as Trump did and instead campaigned where it actually counted.
By right, Trump should’ve won the popular vote as well and it’s bizarre that didn’t happen. Hillary has no charisma nor personal likability, hardly campaigned and showed herself a lousy uninspiring campaigner when she did, poor attendances at her events, was the consummate insider in an outsider/change election, corrupt as hell and all that baggage!! Whereas Trump was the opposite—charismatic, energetic and natural campaigner, massive audiences at his rallies, and was the anti-establishment candidate. He did have his flaws and liabilities, but still, Hillary should not have gotten as many votes as she did.
Has to be cause she had the media all in for her, the press constantly bashing Trump, her campaign vastly outspending and outstaffing his, illegal votes.
Hillary had a window of only several hours a day, from mid-day to early evening, when her Levodopa medication was effective to keep her alert and functional.
If her doctors tried to overmedicate her to extend the time for her to do campaign events, then the side effects could cause seizures or other conditions.
Remember after the NY/NJ Muslim sidewalk bombs, and Hillary had to emerge from the cabin in her plane to make a statement to the press late in the evening? She was unable to muster anything more than a zombie-like mumble.
And when they had her attend an early-morning memorial on the anniversary of 9/11, she left before it was over and still ended up having a seizure before they could manage to get her loaded into her van.
There was no way she could have done much more in the way of campaigning.
I agree it was most likely an illness that took her out.
Trump won the data analytics game too:
Trump Knows You Better Than You Know Yourself
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-backroom/3516872/posts
Exactly. Trump didn’t need to play to a popular vote strategy.
And actually, the Hildebeast won Cali by 4.4 million and .. lo and behold.. after the institution of the motor-voter law out there, voter participation increased by a whopping 8.2%. But I’m sure — despite the fact illegals are issued drivers’ licenses out there — there was no voter fraud in CA... nahhhhhh....
Women played an important part in the building of America but as far as the heavy lifting it has been done by the men. It is not misogynist too tell the truth simply because one believes it will be “taken wrong”.
To shrink from reality hands victory too your enemy who is hell bent in destroying what traditionally has been the image and the history of men in our society.
Almost the entire campaign of the Dems was built around demoralizing the Republican voters by announcing loudly and often the very futility of the Trump campaign and the fact he simply had no way to win, none at all. They used ridiculously fake polling, paid women to pop out of nowhere to accuse Trump of some sort of sexual harassment and on and on.
5-3-8 is a fake news site trying to stay relevant
I will credit Nate Silver for dealing with the fact that the Electoral College determines the outcome of the election (and that Trump was focused like a laser beam on the Electoral College while Hillary was not.
But he misses the point. The point is polls indicated a majority of Americans prefer less government to more. Consistent with this, the election showed a majority favored Trump + Johnson + McMullin + lesser conservative candidates; and, that the Republicans won the nationwide popular vote in the Congressional races.
To show how crazy the vote in California was, the combined center-right vote versus the combined center-left vote would have won all the Trump states PLUS: ME (at large), NH, MN, NM, CO and NV. An electoral college landslide.
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