It seems like he’s tied or winning in the legitimate polls.
The author is an idiot; even Rasmussen said this poll did not have any post debate polling. How could it?
The author is an idiot; even Rasmussen said this poll did not have any post debate polling. How could it?
Does Rasmussen do state level polls? Because if Clinton takes Nevada, Colorado, and Pennsylvania then she wins. Trump can take Florida and Ohio and North Carolina and Iowa and even the majority of the popular vote and still be sitting at home on inauguration day. So since everyone seems to consider Rasmussen the current gold standard then what do they say about Hillary in the battleground states?
Do we really believe that third party candidates will get nearly 10% of the vote? Ross Perot was huge in 1992 and he only got 18%. Ralph Nader got a ton of press in 2000 and he maxed out at around 3%, if I recall correctly.
Of the 9% favoring Johnson or Stein, many will decide not to waste their votes. Trump will ultimately get 3% of them and Hillary about 0.5%.
The national poll is not the deciding factor. He needs to win Florida, Ohio, North Carolina. All the other states will fall in line behind those three. Pennsylvania would be a bonus but the corruption level may be too much to overcome. Last few elections had zero republican votes in many districts. Clear evidence of vote tampering! Republicans do nothing to fix the problem as usual.