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To: sargon
I'm a Floridian. Indeed, I live in the most Democratic county in the state (Broward), and I'm telling you that Donald Trump will win Florida easily.

I was a Floridian until very recently having wintered there for years and having owned a house in, yes, Broward County. Now I'm in the same position you are and I have equal credentials to opine so I can say, "I'm telling you this Donald Trump will lose Florida easily." Now, you can make all the assurances and all the guarantees which amount to nothing unless you're willing to put up some money which I can collect after the election if you're wrong otherwise you just spouting off. I guarantee it.

The trend in the polls is chillingly clear, you can ignore it at our peril. As to enthusiasm, the Democrats know far better than Republicans how to get out the vote and they certainly know better than the unprepared, understaffed, under financed, Johnny-come-lately Trump ground game. Ground game is what the Democrats are good at and what Republicans are bad at.

I think you should admit to the readers that you have evidence that the sentiments expressed in my first reply about the role for Trump to play in the debate, that is that he must look presidential rather than win on the issues, is a view I expressed on these threads before the debate. Before the debate I spoke of his momentum which would lead him to win this election. This current reply is not a cheap shot that comes later. I think it is unfair for you to impute some sort of devious motive on my part to see Trump lose. That is false and you have no evidence to allege it. Indeed, my post before the debate outlining his advantages going in due to momentum in the electoral college and his need only to appear presidential, show a real concern that a winning strategy be adopted.

I want Trump to win and I'm offering every positive suggestion and, yes, good-faith criticism to get him into the Oval Office. You can believe my sincerity if for no other reason then you must acknowledge that I would move heaven and earth to keep Hillary out of that Oval Office.

This is not a problem which you can put off on the messenger anymore than you can successfully blame the pollsters. Nor is it a problem that you can guarantee away.

There is at least one thing that we agree upon:

The only thing that can stop Trump is 1) Trump himself,

I think that was my point.


35 posted on 10/04/2016 12:45:00 AM PDT by nathanbedford
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To: nathanbedford

Trump was ahead IMO, but his blunders and the illegal media leak of his taxes have swung it to Clinton. Now we’ll have a month of “don’t believe the polls” like in 2008 and 2012.


59 posted on 10/04/2016 5:20:24 AM PDT by lasereye
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