Unless he can flip some East Coast, West Coast, or northern Midwest states, it will be difficult to Trump to get needed 270 votes. Trump will need WI, MI, PA, and VA.
Are you conceding FL and OH? Seems to me the most direct path is to win those two plus PA, and hold onto all the other Romney states. That shouldn’t be impossible.
This is an entirely different election than any before it, and the conditions that exist currently are quite unique. Anything can happen, including shifts of states no one thinks are in play. Bank on it. There will be surprises. This race is entirely winnable, without question.
Every single demographic that democrats count are also in play for significant shifts, including minorities, and women - because Hillary, the Clintons, and the democrats are now vulnerable on issues that are central to these demographics.
For example, black unemployment, inner city violence, and a now long history of the black community voting for democrats - only to see perpetuation of all the same problems, are disappointments that are at an all-time saturation point. The Clintons were already mistrusted by the black community during the 2008 election, and now it has come to light just how much money the Clintons have personally made, and the huge amounts of cash that have come into the Clinton Foundation, all while people of color in Haiti were were being stiffed and not benefitting from charitable donations solicited for them. This is but one example, and Trump will use these are multiple other facts to appeal for the votes of the black community, and he will have some success. Combine this with a track record of actually creating things instead of being just a politician, and you have inroads for Republicans amongst voters who are tired of promises that are never fulfilled.
Just today the issue of Huma being an editor on her mother's pro-Islamic ‘newspaper’ for 10 years running - a publication in which her mother wrote in favor of Islamic subjugation of women, came to light. This hypocrisy, along with Hillary's willingness to throw 'inconvenient' women under the bus (or much worse) to save her and her husbands political careers, are just a few examples of very real and very resonating issues that Trump can and will use in his appeal for more women voters. One can go on and on. The opportunity is there, and naysayers should try optimism - because it's warranted.
That is as it stands now. However, just a month a ago, we were winning those states.