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Political Prediction Market: Cruz edges ahead of Trump
CNN ^ | 27 Nov 2015 | Sophie Tatum

Posted on 11/27/2015 12:58:24 PM PST by FourPeas

(CNN)Donald Trump is still the GOP front-runner in opinion polls, but Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has seen a surge on CNN's Political Prediction Market, and is now seen by players as more likely than the billionaire businessman to be the Republican nominee.

Cruz's odds -- which stand at 21% -- are greater than Trump's 20% odds for the first time, according to the Political Prediction Market, a live, online game, conducted by the company Pivit for CNN. It uses polling data and input from its 25,000 users to predict outcomes.

Movement on the Political Prediction Market has clearly been affected by Cruz's improved standing in some polls, particularly in Iowa. In a recent Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday, Trump remained first in Iowa with 25%, but Cruz edged Ben Carson out for second with 23% support. The game does not measure the support of players, but instead has players predict who they think will come out on top.

(Excerpt) Read more at edition.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News
KEYWORDS: cruz; elections; mediabias; tcruz; tedcruz; trump
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Cruz, however, has been leading in the Political Prediction Market's analysis of one key state: Iowa.

As of November 25, in Iowa, Cruz had the best Political Prediction Market odds -- 37% -- among his fellow GOP contenders.

Play the Political Prediction Market at cnn.com/Predict

Hmmm.

1 posted on 11/27/2015 12:58:24 PM PST by FourPeas
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To: FourPeas

Cruz To The Win


2 posted on 11/27/2015 12:59:34 PM PST by butlerweave
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To: FourPeas

Obviously, Ted Cruz is the next one being used by the GOP-E to try to bring down Trump.

/s


3 posted on 11/27/2015 1:02:25 PM PST by Yashcheritsiy (Ben Carson - the safe space candidate)
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To: FourPeas

4 posted on 11/27/2015 1:02:49 PM PST by South40 (Support Ted Cruz - the ONLY Conservative in the race)
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To: FourPeas

>>It uses polling data and input from its 25,000 users to predict outcomes.

And they use a combination of Science! and Numbahs! to calkoolate a winnah!


5 posted on 11/27/2015 1:03:10 PM PST by Bryanw92 (Sic semper tyrannis)
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To: FourPeas
Nobody is winning till some actual voting is done.


6 posted on 11/27/2015 1:05:44 PM PST by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: FourPeas
and is now seen by players as more likely than the billionaire businessman to be the Republican nominee.

7 posted on 11/27/2015 1:06:16 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper
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To: FourPeas

I’ll take Cruz. Trump is making Cruz more palatable than he was months earlier, when the GOPe on Capitol Hill were saying how much they disliked Cruz. However, the establishment has decided that Trump is a bigger threat to their power base.


8 posted on 11/27/2015 1:07:41 PM PST by CASchack
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To: FourPeas

9 posted on 11/27/2015 1:07:56 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: FourPeas

This is in one key state, right? Iowa.

Trump implodes and leaves the race, I bet, and all the South falls away from Trump, and Trump fails in Florida, and hell freezes over. /snark


10 posted on 11/27/2015 1:08:00 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

If Trump’s mouth does not take him out, will be so much fun watching Mr. Cruz do it for him. Sorry, sick to death of Trump’s whining, and carrying on. Still 2 months out from first vote, all kinds of things can happen.


11 posted on 11/27/2015 1:08:12 PM PST by libbylu (Cruz or lose)
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To: RitaOK

Yep, Rita, you have that just about right. Looking forward to it.
Trump is more obnoxious than Bambi with the whining and has changed his positions more than all other GOP candidates combined.


12 posted on 11/27/2015 1:11:11 PM PST by libbylu (Cruz or lose)
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To: butlerweave

Didn’t click to check on the game, but Cruz has the best grassroots organization throughout the counties of Iowa, so I expect him to do well.


13 posted on 11/27/2015 1:11:53 PM PST by Marcella (CRUZ (Prepping can save your life today.))
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To: Yashcheritsiy

And if he does then they will take out Cruz and slow Jeb will slide in there like he always knew it was going to happen.

The big military/industrial complex can’t let Trump in - they’ve had their way with us and won’t let it stop. It will take a miracle to buck them.

No more Bushes or Clintons...or any other establishment goons...I HOPE!


14 posted on 11/27/2015 1:17:40 PM PST by Aria (Abortion = murder, the taking of a human life.)
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To: FourPeas
This is a fake poll....just like climate change data.

The mind is a funny thing. Say it enough andpretty soon, you;ll believe it and react accordingly. Kinda like the Florida cr**...the blackboard media dude.

15 posted on 11/27/2015 1:17:49 PM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: Sacajaweau

A different sort of predictive method


16 posted on 11/27/2015 1:18:51 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: CASchack

He belongs as AG until there’s an opening in the USSC. He’s a legal beagle...and best msn for the AG job....and he knows it.


17 posted on 11/27/2015 1:19:39 PM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: FourPeas

Well, I guess Plan A is still operative: “Trump implodes and then candidate X steps in.”

There is no Plan B. So apparently the race is Trump’s to lose. Well, there’s nothing in Trump’s past to indicate that he would just give up.

I like Cruz. I’d vote for Cruz. But it’s wishful thinking to wait around for Trump to “implode”.

I doubt that one can find that “strategy” in The Art of War. “Wait for the enemy to surrender.” LOL!


18 posted on 11/27/2015 1:27:22 PM PST by Seruzawa (All those memories will be lost,in time, like tears in rain.)
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To: libbylu

I dunno, lu. I think a couple of things.

Mostly, that apparent to most is that Trump whines against what we want whined about, which explains why Trump is at 38%, and your guy has “surged” out of single digits, to 12.

What is a given, is that Trump’s whining runs a distant third to yours.

But not to worry.... you’ve got great company in your whining, in the lefty media and the GOPee + donor class.


19 posted on 11/27/2015 1:31:57 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: FourPeas
The reports of Mr. Trumps political death are greatly exaggerated.

-Mark Twain

20 posted on 11/27/2015 1:35:49 PM PST by JPG (What's the difference between the Rats and the GOPe? Nothing.)
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