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Presidential Horse Race 2016: Ted Cruz, the electable conservative
Conservative HQ ^ | November 24, 2015 | Jeffrey A. Rendall

Posted on 11/23/2015 10:13:13 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Are you feeling upset?

Turn to most news outlets these days and you hear a lot about Republicans being “angry.” Democrats are always portrayed as concerned and caring, but Republicans and conservatives are just mad – at least Ted Cruz busaccording to the media.

Those feelings are played out in a new poll, too. Nick Gass of Politico reports, “Republicans are nearly three times as angry at the government as their Democratic counterparts, according to the results of the latest Pew Research Center study out Monday…

“The divide between Republicans and Democrats is even deeper among those who said they were politically engaged, with 42 percent of Republicans expressing anger toward their government, while just 11 percent of Democrats said the same.”

The results of the survey are easily explained. Democrats aren’t angry at the government because government gives them everything they ask for – free food, unpatrolled borders, free education, free this, free that… the list is endless. And regarding the “anger” among the politically engaged – if you’re paying attention to what’s going on of late, you should be stark raving mad.

Gass continues, “And among those who are angry, the most popular candidates are Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Donald Trump and Ben Carson. The least popular candidate among those angry: former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.”

I’m puzzled by Rubio’s lofty place with the angriest Republicans. I would think his leadership in the Gang of Eight would get people steamed up at him alone. But I guess there’s still plenty to learn about Marco’s record.

Time will tell.

Jeb and Marco’s dreams fall flat from lack of substance

Lost in all the talk about who’s up and who’s down in the national polls is the practical reality that any candidate who hopes to win the Republican nomination next year must do well in the early states to survive.

It is true that a big campaign war chest might allow someone to stay afloat as long as they have the desire to remain in the race, but people often forget about how momentum surges or stalls after the first few contests.

If you still doubt, please ask “President” Rudy Giuliani. Rudy didn’t put much effort into trying to win in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina in 2008 and his campaign was dead in the water by the time Florida came around. His was a shining example of what not to do in running for president.

Every candidate looks to plot a path to victory early on. For the establishment’s former best hope, Jeb Bush, that road begins in New Hampshire – the only problem being he lingers in fifth place there with a measly 7.6 percent in the Real Clear Politics polling average.

Undeterred by history, Bush soldiers on in the Granite State, seeing it as his only chance to realistically stay alive (at least in an electoral sense) into the delegate rich spring primaries. And certainly by appearances, Jeb is going after the geriatric vote in New Hampshire.

Tim Alberta of National Review reports. “Polling this year — in New Hampshire, in other early-primary states, and nationally — has shown Bush regularly performing better among older voters than with the broader electorate.”

Alberta’s story pits Bush versus Rubio in New Hampshire, with Jeb stumping about the past at a gathering of older folks while Marco offers the future to Millennials. The contrast is striking for more than just the demographics of the audience – and the candidates – the content of the sales pitch was decades apart as well.

New Hampshire does have the third-oldest population of any state and 69% of its 2012 Republican primary voters were 45 or older -- but will statistics alone be enough to revive Bush’s flailing candidacy?

Not necessarily, according to Alberta. “There are two dangers…in Bush’s banking on older voters to put him over the top. First, the 65-and-older bloc doesn’t always cast the decisive vote. John McCain, for example, won every age group except that one in New Hampshire’s 2008 primary (losing it to Mitt Romney), though he still won the state. Second, older voters like Bush, but not as much as they like some of his rivals — especially Rubio.”

Therein lies the problem in targeting one voting bloc and molding your campaign around it. What appeals to one group may not fly with another and Jeb has a hard enough time connecting with people as it is.

True, Marco Rubio does look like he could still be in college, but if anything, Rubio’s youth and lack of experience could work against him with any particular age group.

But beyond demographics, it’s Bush’s and Rubio’s lack of a real message that would eventually sink their campaigns. Jeb can call up the ghosts of the past and Marco can fantasize about the future, but platitudes aren’t what people want these days. They want leaders with ideas that address the issues.

Both Bush and Rubio are weakest on the key issue in the 2016 campaign, immigration. All the lofty sounding rhetoric in the world isn’t going to get them past that fact with the conservative base. Once voters start paying attention, they’ll find much better alternatives in the field.

And there’s nothing either one of them can do about it – except maybe to reminisce or dream.

Carson’s job interview answer doesn’t impress Rush Limbaugh

Similar to Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio, Ben Carson has a message problem. He’s based his campaign on a fabulous life-long resume of personal triumph over adversity and professional success, but beyond those things, he’s lacking in chewable sustenance.

Such is true especially in foreign policy, where he’s struggled with basic facts and in articulating an overall strategy to handle the key aspects of his new “job,” if he should win the presidency.

Carson says it isn’t a problem…he has the capacity to learn foreign policy, just like anything else. Thomas Beaumont of the Associated Press reports Carson said on Sunday, "[W]hat is really needed is a clear understanding of what the problems are and the ability to work with very talented people that we have. The world is changing very quickly. We have to be willing to continually update our knowledge and adjust to the things that are going on in our country."

It’s the same common sense answer Ben’s been giving all along when asked about foreign affairs. In essence, he’s saying, ‘When a problem arises, I’ll listen to the facts, solicit opinions from advisors and decide what’s best under the circumstances.’

Carson is merely restating what every candidate should say when asked about a particular issue in foreign policy, where technically there is no right or wrong answer. It’s all hypothetical.

That’s not the case on all issues, of course. On tax policy, for example, you can bring out pie charts and long-term calculations from think-tanks to argue your point. But on foreign policy, you’re addressing problems that either don’t exist at present or are often too nebulous to give a yes or no answer.

It’s kind of like being in a job interview when the interviewer asks you, “What would you do if….?” If you admit that you just don’t know how you’d react without more information, you won’t get the job.

And Ben’s up against a collection of competitors who seem very self-assured when quizzed on the world. Donald Trump says he’ll bomb the s—t out of ISIS. Carly Fiorina says she’ll establish a no-fly zone in Syria. Jeb Bush says he’ll put in troops back in Iraq… and on and on.

The truth is, none of the candidates knows what they’ll do at the time because they aren’t privy to all the facts right now. It’s pure speculation. Carson knows this and provides a process for decision-making – and he’s heavily criticized for it. It’s not really fair, but it’s also understandable.

Another Carson critique came over the weekend from none other than Rush Limbaugh. Making a rare appearance on Fox News Sunday, Limbaugh discussed Ben’s qualifications to be president.

Joel Gehrke of National Review reports Rush told Chris Wallace, “Ben Carson equipped to be president? Um — probably not at this stage. But any of these Republicans running would be better than Hillary or better than anything we’ve got now, so on that, based on that comparison, yes. I would vote for him if it was up to him and Hillary. Absolutely, without a doubt.”

Rush prides himself on being “right,” but in this case, I think he’s wrong. Disqualifying Carson because of his present grasp of foreign situations is premature and unreasonable. You can say Ben is weak on the matter, but to deem him “unequipped” to be president goes a little far.

But it’s one man’s view and that’s what Rush is paid to do – offer opinions.

For his part, Ben is fighting back against the critics. With the wealth of other qualities Carson brings to the Republican race, he deserves an opportunity to show he can handle it.

To give him less would not be fair.

Ted Cruz, the electable conservative

Finally today, Ted Cruz has often portrayed himself as the candidate most ready to take on the “Washington cartel,” but now he’s saying he’s the most electable, too.

Steve Peoples of the Associated Press reports, “As Carson's support appears to soften, and Trump struggles to say with precision what are his exact plans for increasing surveillance of potential threats in the wake of the Paris attacks, Cruz is ramping up his pitch and trying to cast himself not just as an outsider - but an electable outsider at a time of widespread mistrust of Washington.”

In doing so, the Texas Senator is merely executing his strategy of confidently promoting his credentials while quietly playing down his opponents. Ted knows he needs to draw support from Trump and Carson – otherwise he’s got little chance to advance.

As the smartest candidate in the Republican field, Cruz has proven masterful at deflecting criticisms while appealing to conservative groups within the party. As the days go on, he’s certainly demonstrating that he’s a candidate to be reckoned with.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties
KEYWORDS: cruz; tedcruz
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1 posted on 11/23/2015 10:13:13 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The un-constitutional actions of an illegally elected president and the rabid support of him by the elected Democrats in Congress is the reason why. This transcends simple partisan politics. Many of the acts can and should be viewed as treasonous.

Angry? It’s beyond anger of many patriotic Americans.


2 posted on 11/23/2015 10:59:01 PM PST by Forty-Niner
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Ted is the Man!!!


3 posted on 11/23/2015 11:10:06 PM PST by tallyhoe
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To: Forty-Niner
Ted Cruz, the electable conservative

The desperation of the GOPe is historical. They would literally take Bill Maher over Trump as the GOP candidate.
4 posted on 11/23/2015 11:22:02 PM PST by JoSixChip
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To: JoSixChip
Are you suggesting Ted Cruz is Bill Maher? The sheer stupidity of the Trumpbots continues to manifest itself.
5 posted on 11/23/2015 11:54:38 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

Will you support Mr. Trump, if he is nominated?


6 posted on 11/23/2015 11:59:25 PM PST by RedHeeler
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To: RedHeeler
What does that have to do with this Trumpbot actually daring to compare Ted Cruz to the despicable radical leftist Bill Maher? That is just beyond contempt.
7 posted on 11/24/2015 12:08:28 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe
Are you suggesting Ted Cruz is Bill Maher? The sheer stupidity of the Trumpbots continues to manifest itself.

Really, is it that far fetched? How would old bill have voted on TPA and the corker bill? I'm betting old bill would have voted to the right of cruz. How much money has Cruz taken form CoC and CFG? Do you believe they are giving cruz millions and not expecting anything in return? Is it stupid to believe, that in an environment where politicians are bought off daily, that a politician that has already been bought off will be bought off again? I think not.
8 posted on 11/24/2015 12:08:50 AM PST by JoSixChip
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To: JoSixChip
How about Bill Maher is a rabid abortionist, supports homosexual marriage, strongly backs Obamacre, is one of Obama’s strongest supporters....And that is just for starters. Oh wait, Trump supports or has supported every single one of these in the not long distant past. If anyone is Bill Maher, it's Trump.
9 posted on 11/24/2015 12:13:13 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

Nothing. Just a question. I like ya, Smoking Joe.


10 posted on 11/24/2015 12:17:16 AM PST by RedHeeler
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To: SmokingJoe
Trump supports or has supported every single one of these in the not long distant past.

Wrong, Trumps positions have been consistent going back to the early 80's. The only change is on abortion and that change was back in the early 00's which he has fully explained. You can read his books form the 80's, 90's, 00's and 10's as prof of this, plus you might learn something. Cruz has never offered a real explination of his TPA and corker votes, unless you buy he was played by mcconnoll and he voted for the corker bill to stop the Iran deal.
11 posted on 11/24/2015 12:21:08 AM PST by JoSixChip
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To: JoSixChip

In fact on any number of issues, Trump is/has been more liberal than even Mitt Romney.
So far, all we have is what he is saying now that he needs conservative votes to win the nomination. Trump has ZERO record of conservatism or consistency or keeping his promises on anything. In fact he has a very good record of inconsistency and constantly changing his mind on any number of issues and breaking his promises. Only yesterday he broke yet another promise he made before 23 million TV viewers of not running as an independent. Now he says he May just do the very thing he promised not to do.


12 posted on 11/24/2015 12:22:02 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe
So far, all we have is what he is saying now that he needs conservative votes to win the nomination.

That is not true. Trump has published his beliefs going back to the 80's, they have not changed much. I give more credit to that then a politician who says one thing and votes the exact opposite.
13 posted on 11/24/2015 12:26:31 AM PST by JoSixChip
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To: JoSixChip
Now you blatantly lie. As at TODAY, Trump supports gay marriage. Trump has supported abortion most of his life. Trump supported Barack Obama. In his own words, he was a “cheerleader” for Obama. Trump backed Obamacare and still backs Canadian single pay. Trump is Bill Maher light.
14 posted on 11/24/2015 12:27:37 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

BUMP


15 posted on 11/24/2015 12:27:56 AM PST by Pajamajan ( Pray for our nation. Thank the Lord for everything you have. Don't wait. Do it today.)
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To: JoSixChip

Trump has ZERO record of conservative activism, before his run for president. NONE.


16 posted on 11/24/2015 12:29:08 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe
Only yesterday he broke yet another promise he made before 23 million TV viewers of not running as an independent. Now he says he May just do the very thing he promised not to do.

Right, you mean an agreement that no one else signed. An agreement that the other party is spending millions to violate the agreement. So your real problem with Trump is that he will not concede to the GOPe's tactics? If that is what you are looking for, you were better off with mccane and romney.
17 posted on 11/24/2015 12:31:49 AM PST by JoSixChip
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To: JoSixChip

Have you heard of the phrase “my word is my bond”? Oh wait, normal rules of behavior do not apply to “The Donald”. Why the beck should conservatives put their faith in a guy that casually and blatantly lies to them on TV without batting an eyelid?


18 posted on 11/24/2015 12:38:20 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe
Trump has ZERO record of conservative activism, before his run for president. NONE.

Really, he built huge businesses and employed 10s of thousands of employees. I guess lip service means more to you then actual results. By the way, here are some of Trumps causes that he supported without looking for recognition:

Arnold Palmer Foundation
Celebrity Fight Night Foundation
Children with AIDS
David Foster Foundation
DoSomething.org
Friends of Scotland
Jimmy Fund
Los Angeles Police Memorial Foundation
Make A Child Smile Appeal
Make-A-Wish Foundation
Mississippi Animal Rescue League
Muhammad Ali Parkinson Center
Neurofibromatosis, Inc.
Operation Smile
Paralyzed Veterans of America
Pediatric Epilepsy Project
Raising Malawi
Reef Relief
Smile Train
St. Francis Food Pantries and Shelters
The Doe Fund
UNICEF
Wounded Warrior Project

19 posted on 11/24/2015 12:39:15 AM PST by JoSixChip
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To: JoSixChip

Charitable giving to the poor and needy has nothing to do with conservative activism. Liberals give to the poor and needy too.


20 posted on 11/24/2015 12:42:11 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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