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First female president or vice president near-certain come 2016
The Hill ^ | March 12, 2015 | Jessica Taylor

Posted on 03/12/2015 2:58:58 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

(VIDEO-AT-LINK)

One way or another, there’s likely to be a woman in the White House in 2017.

With Hillary Clinton as the Democrats’ heavy favorite, Republicans will be feeling pressure over the next year to pick a woman as their No. 2.

That combination atop the major party tickets would assure that for the first time in history, there would be either a female president or a female vice president.

Both parties have tried before — Democrats made history first with New York Rep. Geraldine Ferraro as their nominee for vice president in 1984. But that didn’t stop President Reagan’s reelection rout of the Ferraro ticket with Walter Mondale.

Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) pick of then-Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate in 2008 seemed significant at first like it might turn things around. It didn’t. Her missteps ended up hurting McCain’s bid and Barack Obama became the nation’s first black president.

Republicans have a much deeper, more experienced bench eight years later. With Clinton signaling in recent speeches she will embrace the historic nature of her candidacy this time around — something she was hesitant to do in 2008 — Republicans are going to have to find a way to counter that advantage and the yawning gender gap.

New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez seems to check all the boxes the GOP needs checked — the Latina was just reelected handily. She’s downplayed any national aspirations, but party elders can be very convincing.

Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina has been proving exactly why the GOP needs a woman on the ticket to balance out Clinton.

The GOP’s biggest problem over the past few cycles has been figuring out both how to talk to, and about, women. In recent years, male politicians tripped badly over questions about rape, abortion and sexual assault.

According to 2012 exit polling, GOP nominee Mitt Romney lost women by 11 points nationally, 55 to 44 percent. Women made up 53 percent of the presidential electorate that year.

How to deftly criticize Clinton without it backfiring is something the all-male GOP presidential front-runners will have to figure out too. Yet, Fiorina could provide them cover — and she’s already been embracing the role of attack dog in a way that men can’t.

Her major speeches at the Iowa Freedom Forum and last month’s Conservative Political Action Conference have caused the GOP establishment class to take notice. She’s a long way from breaking into the top tier of the likely 2016 field, but she’s far improved her standing since her heavily criticized 2010 California Senate run.

New Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte would be high up on the GOP’s wish list, but she has her own competitive 2016 reelection to worry about. Ayotte is allowed to run for the Senate and the White House simultaneously. Given the ferocity with which outside groups like Crossroads GPS are already going after her likely opponent, Democratic Gov. Maggie Hassan, it’s unlikely the GOP would risk a competitive Senate seat when the upper chamber is at risk.

Nikki Haley, the Indian-American governor of South Carolina, will also likely be talked about and handily won a contested reelection race last year. But she’s currently dealing with a lawsuit against the state’s embattled foster care system.

A dream candidate would be former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice — an African-American female who would neutralize many of Clinton’s foreign policy and gender advantages. But she’s shown little interest in elective office since leaving the George W. Bush administration, most recently passing on a California Senate run.

There could be other long shots in the mix, too. Freshman Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst is skyrocketing to fame after her 2014 win, delivering this year’s State of the Union rebuttal. She’ll have major influence in her home state caucuses. The Iraq combat veteran would bring military heft to a ticket, though critics would attack her lack of experience.

Less well-known names like West Virginia Sen. Shelley Moore Capito or House GOP Conference Chairwoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers could also be considered; both would add years of legislative heft to the ticket.

The good news for Republicans is that the GOP bench is deeper than it ever has been.

It may not just be Republicans who are eyeing female vice president, though. I’ve heard speculation among both Democrats and Republicans that Clinton could pick a female running mate to bolster an already historic ticket.

To satiate a progressive Democratic base, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren would be an obvious pick. Clinton is viewed with skepticism by the left, and a Clinton-Warren ticket would allay some concerns. However, there would be drawbacks of such a one-two combination. Warren could run the risk of overshadowing the top of the ticket. In addition, they both represent, or have represented, blue states in the Northeast.

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand would be another top contender, but two New Yorkers on the same ticket has risks.

Meanwhile, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar has presidential aspirations, but won’t run against Clinton. She has made trips to neighboring Iowa and could also be in the mix.

If Clinton gets the nomination, as expected, 2016 will already be the year of the woman for Democrats, no matter who her running mate is.

But for Republicans, picking a woman may quickly become a political necessity.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties
KEYWORDS: 2016; democrats; hillary; palin
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To: Michael.SF.

They played the same game with McCain, remember?


21 posted on 03/12/2015 3:21:23 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

One way or another, there’s likely to be a woman in the White House in 2017.

Let’s all hope and pray that it is the President’s Wife.


22 posted on 03/12/2015 3:21:55 PM PDT by eyeamok
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To: BlackAdderess
Preferably a military guy too.

That rules out all but one or two of the GOP candidates. And I'm not thrilled with who that leaves.

23 posted on 03/12/2015 3:23:03 PM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: Amendment10

Beware that the Oval Office is not the most powerful office in the land as Obama guard dog Fx News would like for everybody to believe.

Correct, it is Congress and the States

Congress has ALL the power in washington, the executive and judicial branch operate according to the whims of CONGRESS!

Congress can Remove the President
Congress can remove the head of every executive agency
Congress can remove ALL of their employees
Congress can Abolish every agency they so choose
Congress can remove EVERY JUDGE IN AMERICA, including every supreme court justice.
Congress can abolish every federal court except the supreme Court
Congress can decide which cases the Judicial Branch can hear and decide
CONGRESS can Imprison ANYONE they want for any reason they so desire for as long as they wish.
Congress can declare WAR

No other governing body has even 10% of the power CONGRESS has!!

CONGRESS IS ALLOWING ALL OF IT!!!

Congress has the authority to arrest and imprison those found in Contempt. The power extends throughout the United States and is an inherent power (does not depend upon legislated act)

If found in Contempt the person can be arrested under a warrant of the Speaker of the House of Representatives or President of the Senate, by the respective Sergeant at Arms.

Statutory criminal contempt is an alternative to inherent contempt.

Under the inherent contempt power Congress may imprison a person for a specific period of time or an indefinite period of time, except a person imprisoned by the House of Representatives may not be imprisoned beyond adjournment of a session of Congress.

Imprisonment may be coercive or punitive.

Some references

[1] Joseph Story’s Commentaries on the Constitution, Volume 2, § 842
http://press-pubs.uchicago.edu/founders/print_documents/a1_5s21.html

[2] Anderson v. Dunn - 19 U.S. 204 - “And, as to the distance to which the process might reach, it is very clear that there exists no reason for confining its operation to the limits of the District of Columbia; after passing those limits, we know no bounds that can be prescribed to its range but those of the United States.”
http://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/19/204/case.html

[3] Jurney v. MacCracken, 294 U.S. 125
http://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/294/125/case.html
73rd Cong., 78 Cong. Rec. 2410 (1934)
https://archive.org/details/congressionalrec78aunit

[4] McGrain v. Daugherty, 273 U.S. 135 - Under a warrant issued by the President of the Senate the Deputy to the Senate Sergeant at Arms arrested at Cincinnati, Ohio, Mally S. Daugherty, who had been twice subpoenaed by the Senate and twice failed to appear.
http://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/273/135/case.html

[5] Rules of the House of Representatives, Rule IV Duties of the Sergeant at Arms - [] execute the commands of the House, and all processes issued by authority thereof, directed to him by the Speaker.
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/HMAN-105/pdf/HMAN-105-pg348.pdf

[6] An analysis of Congressional inquiry, subpoena, and enforcement
http://www.constitutionproject.org/documents/when-congress-comes-calling-a-primer-on-the-principles-practices-and-pragmatics-of-legislative-inquiry/

I will continue to beat this drum until everyone else catches on, that it is CONGRESS ALLOWING IT


24 posted on 03/12/2015 3:23:27 PM PDT by eyeamok
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To: laplata

Only military guy so far is Perry.


25 posted on 03/12/2015 3:23:33 PM PDT by BlackAdderess ("Give me a but a firm spot on which to stand, and I shall move the earth". --Archimedes)
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To: BlackAdderess

True. But West would be a good VP.


26 posted on 03/12/2015 3:26:57 PM PDT by laplata ( Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: DoodleDawg

Be that as it may, America is sick to death of equivocating metrosexual Washingtonian critters. American Sniper being a hit is no fluke, we’ve been girly-manned to death as a nation.


27 posted on 03/12/2015 3:27:18 PM PDT by BlackAdderess ("Give me a but a firm spot on which to stand, and I shall move the earth". --Archimedes)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Her missteps ended up hurting McCain’s


Lie


28 posted on 03/12/2015 3:27:29 PM PDT by CIB-173RDABN (I do not doubt that our climate changes. I only doubt that anything man does has any effect.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

giant sponge, found beneath the Antarctic
http://www.montereyinstitute.org/noaa/lesson06/l6text.htm


29 posted on 03/12/2015 3:29:57 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (Germany - The Travel Destination)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
They played the same game with McCain, remember?

I'm trying to forget McCain, but it is hard as I live here now.

30 posted on 03/12/2015 3:33:50 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (It takes a gun to feed a village (and an AK 47 to defend it).)
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To: BlackAdderess

I didn’t know that. He just advanced a few spots on my list of choices.


31 posted on 03/12/2015 3:39:39 PM PDT by TwelveOfTwenty (See my home page for some of my answers to the left's talking points.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

My early call is that the Republicans will have a female and a Hispanic on the ticket.

If the head of the ticket isn’t Cruz or Rubio, Gov. Martinez is a lock for VP.


32 posted on 03/12/2015 3:40:33 PM PDT by Crusher138 ("Then conquer we must, for our cause it is just")
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To: Georgia Girl 2

It’s not who you are it’s what you are, first black,president, first women president I knew this was coming and so did you. America votes with thier a##es


33 posted on 03/12/2015 3:41:54 PM PDT by ronnie raygun (Empty head empty suit = arrogant little bastard)
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To: TwelveOfTwenty

:)


34 posted on 03/12/2015 3:42:20 PM PDT by BlackAdderess ("Give me a but a firm spot on which to stand, and I shall move the earth". --Archimedes)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hey, if Sarah runs, I’ll vote for her.


35 posted on 03/12/2015 3:43:09 PM PDT by cuban leaf (The US will not survive the obama presidency. The world may not either.)
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To: Crusher138

Isn’t Jebbie an “honorary” Latino due to his wife & kids?


36 posted on 03/12/2015 3:43:32 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: ronnie raygun

First I think Hillary is toast at this point and second the great American black president experiment is over. America now is looking to get back to a good looking white guy. ie normal.


37 posted on 03/12/2015 3:45:08 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Based on her writing, I’d say she still is.


38 posted on 03/12/2015 3:45:58 PM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: ronnie raygun

Agree. The emotion-voting herd that twice elected Obama hasn’t gone away. In fact, based on demographics, it has grown larger. If it turns out. Hillary wins.


39 posted on 03/12/2015 3:46:33 PM PDT by Dagnabitt (Loser in Life? No problem - Buy a Pit Bull. Now you're "tough".)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

No more novelty POTUS.


40 posted on 03/12/2015 3:46:34 PM PDT by Amagi (Lenin: "Socialized Medicine is the Keystone to the Arch of the Socialist State.")
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