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To: papertyger

Sure, but Drake’s equation is just a Fermi estimate - a reasonable guess about a matter we don’t have nearly enough data about. There’s no doubt the press sensationalizes such mind-exercises and the speculations some scientists attach to them, but the fact is that we do know that intelligent life is allowed by the physics of this universe. Speculation about how often it occurs is certainly more legitimate than speculation about how common water flowing uphill on other worlds might be.


30 posted on 03/31/2012 6:47:17 PM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: AnotherUnixGeek
Sure, but Drake’s equation is just a Fermi estimate - a reasonable guess about a matter we don’t have nearly enough data about.

"Reasonable" in what sense?

... but the fact is that we do know that intelligent life is allowed by the physics of this universe. Speculation about how often it occurs is certainly more legitimate than speculation about how common water flowing uphill on other worlds might be.

I don't see how until you've repeatably demonstrated how it in fact started here.

Life, any life, is a proverbial "turtle on a fence post."

We know the capabilities of turtles, and we know the characteristics of fence posts. All the calculations in the world are not goring to give you a legitimate probability for how often you can expect to find another turtle on another fence post.

32 posted on 03/31/2012 7:42:33 PM PDT by papertyger ("And how we burned in the camps later, thinking: What would things have been like if...")
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