"The “not a shot was fired” theory. Your thoughts?"
If large numbers of Catholics wake up and return to Catholicism rather than remaining cafeteria Catholics it could turn around on a dime. If they don't, the theory of how it'll go down is at least as good as any other and more realistic than most. It's definitely more likely to go that way than to lead to the general revolt some folks are expecting.
Personally, I think God is going to have a lot to say in this situation I just don't know whether it will be to let things get much worse in return for the fact that this country has turned away from Christ or to halt this mess in a fashion that shows He is always in charge no matter what politicians and weakling citizens think.
They've been asleep for nearly 50 years ... any thoughts on how to wake them up? No doubt the bishops would be interested.
While I am reluctant to admit it, I think Fr. Dwight has drawn this projection from years of ministering to the faithful and not so faithful. Contracepting catholic women will not suddenly stop taking their pills. The economy is bad and, in their opinions, more children would mean curtailing current family activities in order to feed another child, or two, or ...
The best assessment of the current situation comes from Cardinal George. In case you missed that thread, here is the link.
The HHS Mandate: Cardinal George and the Bishops Are Fighting the Last War