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A strategic blunder? (Can you say "barf"?)
Townhall.com | April 3, 2003 | Paul Craig Roberts

Posted on 04/04/2003 6:03:08 AM PST by JimRed

Despite stiff and unexpected Iraqi resistance, the U.S. invasion of Iraq is likely to succeed in toppling Saddam Hussein -- and British Prime Minister Tony Blair, President Bush, the Republican Party and American neoconservatives.

Wars have unintended consequences as well as unexpected developments. The White House, the Pentagon, our troops and the public were surprised that Saddam Hussein did not "collapse after the first whiff of gunpowder," as Richard Perle, the principle architect of the war, had optimistically predicted. The promised "cakewalk" quickly bogged down into a stalemate, and other major setbacks have occurred.

The Pentagon has been sobered by the halting of our vaunted invasion force by lightly armed Iraqi irregular troops and tribesmen. U.S. reinforcements have been ordered that will double our fighting capability. In the meantime, there will be 40 days and nights of bombing to soften the as-yet-unfaced soldiers of the Republican Guard.

The casualties, both civilian and military, that are now expected to await us in Baghdad were not anticipated when our soldiers embarked on the liberation of Iraq. As serious as this miscalculation is, other miscalculations may prove to be even more deadly.

The American invasion has made a Muslim hero out of Saddam Hussein, a secular dictator who has spent his political life suppressing Islamic political parties. Even worse, the invasion has achieved the "Palestinization" of the Muslim world and has united Muslims against us.

Muslims see the invasion of Iraq not as liberation but as conquest and re-colonization. Samir Ragab, the staid chairman of the hitherto moderate Egyptian Gazette, editorialized on March 27: "The U.S. and Israel are one and the same thing. Their common objective is to enfeeble Arabs and tear their nation to pieces."

"It is genocide to me," says Cairo Times reporter Summer Said. Even Christian Arabs have turned against us: George Elnaber, a 36-year-old owner of an Amman, Jordan, supermarket says: "Bush is an occupier and terrorist. We hate Americans more than we hate Saddam now."

Similar sentiments are being expressed millionsfold throughout the Middle East and Muslim Asia. They reflect the overnight radicalization of the Muslim world, which will affect politics. On March 31, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak said: "When it is over, if it is over, this war will have horrible consequences. Instead of having one bin Laden, we will have 100 bin Ladens."

Secular Middle Eastern rulers, who have suppressed Islamic political parties, are isolated from the populations that they govern. Islamic political movements were making headway, most notably in Pakistan and Turkey, prior to the U.S. invasion of Iraq. The invasion has energized Islamic politicians. Leaders of the Mutahida Majlas-e-Aamal (MMA), a ruling religious party alliance in Northwest Pakistan, responded by demanding that Pakistan's "coward leaders" be pushed aside so that Pakistan's nuclear arms can be used "for the protection of the Muslim world." Not even our NATO ally Turkey would permit us to move troops across its territory.

Deluded, perhaps, by the pro-war propaganda gushing from the U.S. news media and neoconservative magazines, Secretary of State Colin Powell and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld have foolishly further inflamed Muslim opinion by issuing "warnings" to Syria and Iran. Such warnings are regarded as threats. In an interview with the Beirut daily newspaper A-Safir, Syrian President Bashar Assad responded to the threats, "We will not wait until we become the next target."

Clearly, U.S. policymakers lack understanding of the volatile region of the world in which they are exercising a heavy hand. With amazing hubris, U.S. policymakers have stirred up thousands of Islamic terrorists whose future victims could dwarf in number the deaths of Sept. 11 and the Iraq war combined.

The same policymakers have exacerbated distrust of the United States throughout the world. The Russian government publicly announced that it expects the Americans to plant weapons of mass destruction in Iraq in order to justify the excuse used to invade Iraq. The Russians said that they will believe no such American claim without independent international inspection. What kind of cooperation can a country so distrusted expect?

The U.S. invasion of Iraq is a strategic blunder, the costs of which will mount over the next half century. If there is to be a silver lining to this military adventure, perhaps it will be the realization among the American public that the neoconservative agenda of conquest of the Muslim Middle East is beyond our available strength, thus diverting America from a disastrous course, which would consume our blood and treasure.

©2003 Creators Syndicate, Inc.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: antiwarright; iraqifreedom; paulcraigroberts
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Is this guy watching the same war as the rest of us? And, as for his conclusions, the Muslim world was united against us before, and would have remained so regardless of our actions (or inaction).
1 posted on 04/04/2003 6:03:08 AM PST by JimRed
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To: JimRed
...or did he forget the < /sarcasm > at the end?
2 posted on 04/04/2003 6:05:10 AM PST by JimRed (Disinformation is the leftist's and enemy's friend; consider the source before believing.)
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To: JimRed
This guy has a severe case of partisan RAT political blindness not seen since the Wellstone memorally.
3 posted on 04/04/2003 6:06:42 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (Let's Roll)
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To: JimRed
Another member of the Axis of Internal Evil spews his garbage. This one pretends to be a conservative.
4 posted on 04/04/2003 6:07:06 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Anti America Americans are outing themselves as their side loses in Iraq!)
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To: JimRed
Even Christian Arabs have turned against us: George Elnaber, a 36-year-old owner of an Amman, Jordan, supermarket says: "Bush is an occupier and terrorist. We hate Americans more than we hate Saddam now."

That will change soon to grudging respect. If it hasn't already.

5 posted on 04/04/2003 6:08:12 AM PST by shhrubbery!
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To: JimRed
This POS has earned my first Benedict Arnett award of the day.


6 posted on 04/04/2003 6:09:15 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Anti America Americans are outing themselves as their side loses in Iraq!)
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To: JimRed
If there is to be a silver lining to this military adventure,..

.. it is the complete marginalization and demonstration of irrelevancy of American paleoconservative "thought."

7 posted on 04/04/2003 6:09:21 AM PST by Cincinatus (Omnia relinquit servare Republicam)
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To: JimRed
All this moron left out was predicting that America is about to fall because we have several hundred Al Quaeda "fighters" virtually on our doorstep (in GITMO).
8 posted on 04/04/2003 6:10:09 AM PST by Kenton
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To: JimRed
I got as far as the word "neoconservatives" and quit reading. There is too much stuff going on in the world for me to give handwringing, Chicken Little, Perpetually Pissed-Off Paleocons the time of day.
9 posted on 04/04/2003 6:11:00 AM PST by wimpycat ('Nemo me impune lacessit')
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To: JimRed
The promised "cakewalk" quickly bogged down into a stalemate, and other major setbacks have occurred.

He must be talking about that other war over in Bizarro World, he can't be talking about the one here.

10 posted on 04/04/2003 6:11:45 AM PST by ladtx ("...the very obsession of your public service must be Duty, Honor, Country." D. MacArthur)
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To: Chancellor Palpatine; Poohbah
You guys might be interested. I'm certainly not.
11 posted on 04/04/2003 6:11:56 AM PST by wimpycat ('Nemo me impune lacessit')
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To: Mr. Mulliner; scholar
See what I mean??

There're many others *just* like this crap that're appearing today, all from the same suspects far and wide, & all shilling the identical message.

Whadda coincidence!

...uh-huh.

12 posted on 04/04/2003 6:14:57 AM PST by Landru
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
This one is a paleomoron.
13 posted on 04/04/2003 6:15:49 AM PST by Chancellor Palpatine (going into an election campaign without the paleocons is like going to war without the French)
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To: hchutch; sinkspur
paleomoron alert
14 posted on 04/04/2003 6:16:37 AM PST by Chancellor Palpatine (going into an election campaign without the paleocons is like going to war without the French)
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To: JimRed; Poohbah

He's off his chump.

15 posted on 04/04/2003 6:17:33 AM PST by dighton (Amen-Corner Hatchet Team, Nasty Little Clique, Vulgar Horde)
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To: Grampa Dave; Chancellor Palpatine; Poohbah; dighton
LOL!

Love it!
16 posted on 04/04/2003 6:18:25 AM PST by hchutch ("But tonight we get EVEN!" - Ice-T)
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To: Landru
The views of the paleos have become indistinguishable from those of ANSWER. At least one of them yesterday was sniveling about the USSC handing Bush the Presidency - they've gotten to the point where fewer of them are pretending to be any different than the America haters of the anarchic left.
17 posted on 04/04/2003 6:19:41 AM PST by Chancellor Palpatine (going into an election campaign without the paleocons is like going to war without the French)
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To: hchutch
Thanks, and his pos article deserves the first Benedict Arnett award of the day.

Please ping me when you find another deserving POS thread.
18 posted on 04/04/2003 6:19:44 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Anti America Americans are outing themselves as their side loses in Iraq!)
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To: JimRed
The writer has been blinded by the 'dark side' that has stolen the minds and souls of so many, even in America. He can't see our obvious success.
19 posted on 04/04/2003 6:23:18 AM PST by Sender
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To: Catspaw
.
20 posted on 04/04/2003 6:31:53 AM PST by Chancellor Palpatine (going into an election campaign without the paleocons is like going to war without the French)
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