Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The crucial moment: US must defeat elite Iraqi troops
Guardian Unlimited (U.K.) ^ | March 25th, 2003 | Julian Borger in Washington

Posted on 03/24/2003 8:43:55 PM PST by Sabertooth

The crucial moment: US must defeat elite Iraqi troops

Second line of defence will mean fights in populated areas

Julian Borger in Washington
Tuesday March 25, 2003
The Guardian


US and Iraqi forces appear to be poised on the outskirts of Baghdad to begin their first big tank battle since the last Gulf war 12 years ago, but this time it is likely to be only an overture to a clash in the Iraqi capital itself.

Tony Blair called the coming engagement with the Medina Division of the Iraqi Republican Guard a "crucial moment", and it will be the first big test of the ability and willingness of Saddam Hussein's best troops to fight a pitched battle.

The last time such a confrontation took place the massed Iraqi divisions were nearly wiped out where they stood by US B-52 bombers. Those who survived to take on the approaching coalition armour were hit by incoming fire before the US tanks came within range.

When, after the war, he rued leaving his troops exposed as easy targets in the desert, it was the only time President Saddam had been known to admit making a mistake.

This time it is different. Three Republican Guard divisions are defending a heavily populated "red zone" around Baghdad. The US forces are probing their way forward, testing the Iraqi defences as they go, in the hope that they will surrender rather than face obliteration by weeks of aerial bombing.

The risk they are taking was evident yesterday, when Apache helicopters were forced to withdraw, riddled with bullet holes, from a "hornet's nest" of defences around the Iraqi capital.

They face another potentially serious problem. The race to Baghdad has left their long supply line from Kuwait unprotected, and officers are privately complaining that the US defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld's insistence on carrying out the offensive with only one heavy armoured division has left the supply columns dangerously exposed to guerrilla attacks.

When the Republican Guard are in the open, they are unlikely to provide a match for the US. Their Soviet-era T-72 tanks can be picked off from the air, and their range is far shorter than US Abrams tanks and artillery. The problems for the US commander, General Tommy Franks, will begin when the Iraqi forces move into civilian-populated areas, robbing the US of some of the advantages of air superiority. Tanks and artillery fire also run the risk of killing non-combatants.

In some areas, there may be no option but to move into the Iraqi suburbs on foot, an experience which is likely to provide a bitter foretaste of the battle for Baghdad proper, where Saddam's best troops, the Special Republican Guard, are waiting.

The last time American troops were involved in large scale urban warfare, they were in Vietnam, fighting for the city of Hue during the 1968 Tet offensive. The shock at the consequent number of American casualties helped bolster opposition to the Vietnam war.

The 20,000 troops of the 101st Airborne Division are setting up bases from which to launch helicopter assaults on Baghdad or targets further north, while the 3rd Infantry Division squares off against the Republican Guard.

Even before the battle commences, questions are being asked in the US over whether Gen Franks has been given enough troops to carry out the task without leaving his supply routes vulnerable to attack.

In line with Mr Rumsfeld's push to "transform" the US military, by making it less dependent on heavy armoured divisions, and more on air superiority, special forces and non-conventional warfare, the 170,000-strong combat force in Iraq is a third of the size of the one used to achieve the lesser task of freeing Kuwait in Desert Storm 12 years ago.

"I'm hearing from friends of mine in the Gulf they're just furious now," said Ralph Peters, a retired army intelligence lieutenant colonel. "Traditionally when we do this kind of hyper-velocity attack, you need to give the troops a rest after four or five days and you have a fresh division move in up the lines."

He insisted there was no doubt that the coalition would ultimately succeed but argued there were not enough troops to properly secure lines of communication back to bases in Kuwait.

The 4th Infantry Division, originally intended to be based in Turkey, has now been ordered to Kuwait and southern Iraq but it will be more than a week before it is in a position to go into battle.

Other military analysts in Washington, however, expressed optimism that the US and Britain had enough troops to take on Baghdad and its Republican Guard defenders in the coming days.

"Most of the force out there has not really engaged. There is the entire MEF (Marine Expeditionary Force), about 70,000 marines, there and only a small number have been in battle. The 82nd Airborne has not been used," Daniel Goure, a Pentagon adviser at the Lexington Institute in Washington, said.

There are mounting problems of equipment too. Supplies for the 4th Infantry Division are on transport ships which have been in the eastern Mediterranean for weeks waiting for permission to use Turkish territory.

The ships are now on their way to the Gulf and may either dock in Kuwait or in the captured Iraqi port of Umm Qasr at some point this week.

The 4th Infantry Division will either relieve infantry on the frontline or be used to reinforce supply lines that have been stretched by the speed of the main thrusts towards Baghdad.

Patrick Garrett, an analyst at GlobalSecurity.org, a military thinktank in Washington, said: "The question is whether there is enough equipment in the north to secure the area."

The 173rd Airborne Brigade has been flying into Kurdish-controlled airstrips in recent days, but the 6,000-strong force is lightly equipped, and would be no match for the Republican Guard divisions in the north of Iraq.

Gen Franks's strategy appears to be to send some forces from the south to keep the northern divisions at Mosul and Kirkuk at bay. Meanwhile the 173rd would have to secure the area alone.

A final worry in the Pentagon is that the Republican Guard divisions outside Baghdad are there simply to slow down the US advance and leave the attacking troops vulnerable to an attack with chemical or biological warheads. If they are used at all, US troops will not know it until they are unleashed at them at the gates of the capital.



TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: keegan; warlist
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-36 next last


1 posted on 03/24/2003 8:43:56 PM PST by Sabertooth
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: CheneyChick; vikingchick; Victoria Delsoul; WIMom; one_particular_harbour; kmiller1k; mhking; ...
((((((growl)))))



2 posted on 03/24/2003 8:46:05 PM PST by Sabertooth
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
If they try to retreat into Baghdad, I wonder if we might be able to draw them out with a propaganda campaign accusing them of cowardice?

Would their professional discipline win out over their Arab sense of honor?

3 posted on 03/24/2003 8:48:11 PM PST by merrin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
This need not be a classic armored engagement. The Allies basically own the skies. The RG's should be decimated from the air even as we write.
4 posted on 03/24/2003 8:49:07 PM PST by dodger
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
Rummy's Afghan War redux was a bit optimistic. Thank God Gen. Franks convinced him to allow what few heavy divisions he now has.

Imagine if they'd tried doing this with SF on horseback again.

5 posted on 03/24/2003 8:53:27 PM PST by struwwelpeter (na pole tanki grokhotali)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: merrin
The perp culture loves human shields against a superior foe. Try some other tactic.
6 posted on 03/24/2003 8:53:53 PM PST by Torie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: merrin
i have to believe they cannot move. they are entrenched in defensive positions. if they start assembling to move, we can decimate them from the air. are their defensive positions such that there is no way to flank them and get to the city without going directly through them?
7 posted on 03/24/2003 8:56:19 PM PST by oceanview
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: oceanview
Someone (Dan Goure on MSNBC, I think) talked about possible flanking movements getting our guys between the RG and the city.
8 posted on 03/24/2003 8:58:43 PM PST by merrin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
In some areas, there may be no option but to move into the Iraqi suburbs on foot, an experience which is likely to provide a bitter foretaste of the battle for Baghdad proper, where Saddam's best troops, the Special Republican Guard, are waiting.

You can just see The Guardian getting all lubed up over the prospect of American dead.

9 posted on 03/24/2003 9:01:06 PM PST by denydenydeny
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
If they are used at all, US troops will not know it until they are unleashed at them at the gates of the capital.

Won't matter because they will be in MOPP4 before they go in. This has been drilled already.

This guy is all over the map and is transposing his own fears on some professional concerns because he doesn't understand (and is probably too lazy to learn) how we conduct business. I really hate when these journalists or reporters speculate rather than report.

10 posted on 03/24/2003 9:02:03 PM PST by rotorhawk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
Unlike the republican party in the United States of America, the republican guard in Iraq will be decimated.

One or two surprises and a flanking action does not win a war.

The rest of the republican guard defending Bagdad are relatively fixed positions. Like Saddam, those folks are dead, shortly.

How long this action drags on, depends on how much we allow them to scatter into Bagdad with any weapons.

I don't think they will live to eat breakfast tomorrow.

What I'd like to know is why Saddam named his best troops Republican anything.

11 posted on 03/24/2003 9:07:29 PM PST by kylaka
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
All I can say is that it's a good thing Iraq doesn't have submarines, 'cause we're gonna need that armor that's shipping into Kuwait via the Red Sea... Guess Saddam, if he was alive, would have realized why the Russkies built so many subs..

In truth, we would be in a world of hurt if we had to deal with diesel electric submarines. I, for one, am extremely glad Iraq never acquired any..

12 posted on 03/24/2003 9:08:27 PM PST by Experiment 6-2-6 (Meega, Nala Kweesta!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth; *war_list; W.O.T.; 11th_VA; Libertarianize the GOP; Free the USA; knak; Peach; ...
OFFICIAL BUMP(TOPIC)LIST
13 posted on 03/24/2003 9:12:03 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (Where is Saddam?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
Oh yeah, BIF, Turkey can go straight to hell. Islamotrash bottom feeding butt-pluggers.
14 posted on 03/24/2003 9:13:43 PM PST by ApesForEvolution (Yes, let us allow the economies of gerdung, frunk, mexiztlan, chirushcom and canadastan to wither...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kylaka
my guess is CNN came up with that name to embarras BAush 41 ...

you listen to Aziz and it is "Socialist and Arab nationalist forces are in control ..."
15 posted on 03/24/2003 9:16:36 PM PST by WOSG (Liberate Iraq! Lets Roll! now!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: oceanview
They will use Ba'athist Darwinist-Pavlov Sociology/Psychologies and...

....... Gen. Giap ........'war' techniques/Chinese Proverb...

garmented/uniformed in religous terms.

ie. to use our cultural justice ideas against us by using their cultural justice ideas against us.

(In The book,...the 'Animal Farm'of the 'Farm' was a ZOO.)

(Psychiatrists NOT needed)

The 'Farmer' was a VETERINARIAN.

:-(

16 posted on 03/24/2003 9:20:51 PM PST by maestro
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: rotorhawk
Won't matter because they will be in MOPP4 before they go in. This has been drilled already.

Seen these?

 
U.N. allowed Iraqi purchase of agent usable for weapons
      Posted by kattracks
On 11/06/2002 12:10 AM PST with 12 comments


Washington Times ^ | 11/06/02 | Bill Gertz
The United Nations overruled U.S. government objections and allowed Iraq to buy a specialty chemical that U.S. intelligence officials say will boost Baghdad's chemical and biological warfare agents. Top Stories • GOP regains control of Senate• Democrats can't avenge 2000 result• Vote watchers get wish but not results• Sharon dissolves parliament      A large quantity of a chemical known as colloidal silicon dioxide was ordered by the Iraqis in August 2001 and held up by the U.S. government because of concerns about its use.     However, the United Nations approved the sale and it was shipped to Iraq last month, said Hasmik Egin, a U.N. spokeswoman.     Colloidal silicon...
     
     
Iraq takes delivery of powder used in chemical arms
      Posted by kattracks
On 11/17/2002 10:52 PM PST with 35 comments


Washington Times ^ | 11/18/02 | AP
ASSOCIATED PRESS     Iraqi scientists know how to make chemical weapons that can penetrate military protective clothing, and Iraq imported up to 25 metric tons last month of a powder that is a crucial ingredient to such "dusty" weapons.     Iraq told the United Nations the powder was destined for a pharmaceutical company. A former weapons inspector says that company was ordered by President Saddam Hussein before the 1991 Persian Gulf war to work on chemical and biological weapons.     The powder, sold under the brand name Aerosil, has particles so small that, when coated with deadly poisons, they can pass through the tiniest gaps in...
     
 
Iraq can make chemical weapons that penetrate U.S. protective gear
      Posted by RCW2001
On 11/17/2002 2:48 PM PST with 18 comments


Associated Press ^
Published Nov. 17, 2002 ARMR18 WASHINGTON - Iraqi scientists know how to make chemical weapons that can penetrate military protective clothing, and Iraq imported up to 25 metric tons last month of a powder that is a crucial ingredient to such ``dusty'' weapons.Iraq told the United Nations the powder was destined for a pharmaceutical company that a former weapons inspector says was ordered by President Saddam Hussein before the 1991 Persian Gulf War to work on chemical and biological weapons.The powder, sold under the brand name Aerosil, has particles so small that, when coated with deadly poisons, can pass...
     



17 posted on 03/24/2003 9:22:12 PM PST by Sabertooth
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Torie
Interesting problem.

I'm no military guy at all (as you know well). Still, one has to ask: Can the 3rd ID swing north around the west side of Baghdad on the strength of a ground supply loop to those Western air bases and let the 4th come up from behind or is that just too much mass for C-5s to handle? It isn't a long turn-around. Is there too much RG up there for them to handle alone with the 101st? Why not clean out the rest of Iraq and leave Baghdad for last with the two-front attack originally planned?
18 posted on 03/24/2003 9:30:20 PM PST by Carry_Okie (Because there are people in power who are truly evil.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
The last time American troops were involved in large scale urban warfare, they were in Vietnam, fighting for the city of Hue during the 1968 Tet offensive. The shock at the consequent number of American casualties helped bolster opposition to the Vietnam war.

Full Metal Jacket was based on this urban sweep and clear operation.

19 posted on 03/24/2003 9:35:27 PM PST by ez (Advise and Consent = Debate and VOTE!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sabertooth
The risk they are taking was evident yesterday, when Apache helicopters were forced to withdraw, riddled with bullet holes, from a "hornet's nest" of defences around the Iraqi capital. They face another potentially serious problem. The race to Baghdad has left their long supply line from Kuwait unprotected, and officers are privately complaining that the US defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld's insistence on carrying out the offensive with only one heavy armoured division has left the supply columns dangerously exposed to guerrilla attacks.

In line with Mr Rumsfeld's push to "transform" the US military, by making it less dependent on heavy armoured divisions, and more on air superiority, special forces and non-conventional warfare, the 170,000-strong combat force in Iraq is a third of the size of the one used to achieve the lesser task of freeing Kuwait in Desert Storm 12 years ago.

"I'm hearing from friends of mine in the Gulf they're just furious now," said Ralph Peters, a retired army intelligence lieutenant colonel. "Traditionally when we do this kind of hyper-velocity attack, you need to give the troops a rest after four or five days and you have a fresh division move in up the lines." He insisted there was no doubt that the coalition would ultimately succeed but argued there were not enough troops to properly secure lines of communication back to bases in Kuwait.

Oh gosh, I'm very nervous about this. I'm confident of the outcome, but I pray we don't get anymore POWs or dead soldiers.

20 posted on 03/24/2003 9:58:01 PM PST by Victoria Delsoul
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-36 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson