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NEW DICK MORRIS COLUMN - DOOM!!!
New York Post ^ | Nov 4, 2002 | Dick Morris

Posted on 11/04/2002 4:39:48 AM PST by publius1

Edited on 05/26/2004 5:10:13 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]


(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: swimtocubadick
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DEMS PULL AHEAD DICK MORRIS

November 4, 2002 -- IN a number of key U.S. Senate contests, it appears that Democrats have gained a decisive advantage in their efforts to expand their lead in the upper chamber. According to polling completed Saturday night by John Zogby (the most accurate of published pollsters), Senate contests in Arkansas, Colorado, Minnesota, New Jersey and South Dakota have moved sharply toward the Democratic candidates in recent days. Here's the rundown:

Arkansas: Democrat Mark Pryor has gone from a 45-45 tie against GOP incumbent Tim Hutchinson to a decisive 55-44 advantage. Pryor, the son of former Arkansas Sen. and Gov. David Pryor, has capitalized on Hutchinson's apparent hypocrisy in leaving his wife to marry a young member of his staff while advocating family values as a conservative Senator.

Colorado: In a rematch of their contest six years ago, Democrat Tom Strickland has broken out of a 41-40 tie to amass a 53-44 lead over Republican incumbent Wayne Allard.

South Dakota: Endangered Democratic incumbent Tim Johnson appears to have salvaged his seat from a strong challenge by Republican Congressman John Thune. Trailing 43-45 two weeks ago, Johnson now leads by a comfortable 52-47.

Minnesota: Despite the pep rally at Sen. Paul Wellstone's funeral, Walter Mondale has clung to a 50-45 lead over the GOP's Norm Coleman.

New Jersey: Ex-Sen. Frank Lautenberg, part of a new crop of Democratic elderly retreads, has opened up a 54-38 lead over incompetent Republican challenger Doug Forrester.

Missouri: Democratic incumbent Jean Carnahan has stormed back from a 41-47 deficit to take a 49-48 razor-thin lead over GOP Rep. Jim Talent. She could still lose, but she's in strong shape.

There are a few bright spots for Republicans. Elizabeth Dole has taken a decisive 52-46 lead in her battle to hold the GOP seat in North Carolina. In Georgia, Republican Rep. Saxby Chambliss is locked in an unexpected 49-49 tie with Democratic incumbent Max Clelland.

On the other hand, the possible GOP upset in Georgia is offset by a late Democratic surge in Texas, where the GOP seat is endangered by a massive gain by Democrat Ron Kirk who is now at 48 percent nipping on the heels of Republican Attorney General John Cronyn. New Hampshire is also too close to call, as Democratic Gov. Jeanne Shaheen holds a narrow lead over Republican Rep. JohnE. Sununu in the battle for this GOP seat.

So . . . Democrats are poised to pick up seats in Arkansas and Colorado. They might take seats in Texas and New Hampshire. Except for a possible upset in Georgia, the Republicans aren't likely to come up with any Democratic scalps.

What went wrong for the Republicans?

They don't have any issues after Clinton cut welfare and crime. Voters are mad about Wall Street's shenanigans and worried about the economy's doldrums.

And President Bush lost the sense of urgency he had generated about Iraq in September by miring himself in U.N. negotiations with France. Bush's popularity dropped as he appeared to be too much of a politician and too little of a wartime leader in recent weeks

A day is a lifetime in politics. Everything could change. Zogby could be wrong (unlikely). Or . . . the Democrats could spank the GOP on Tuesday.

P.S.: Remember how Clinton lost Congress in 1994 and the resulting Republican arrogance led them to so alienate America that the president won re-election in a walk two years later? Could history repeat itself?

1 posted on 11/04/2002 4:39:48 AM PST by publius1
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To: publius1
Zogby's numbers are miles away from what everyone else is reporting. Not only that, but he has Ryan leading in Illinois, which is a joke compared to all the other polls. I doubt he's right.
2 posted on 11/04/2002 4:41:20 AM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: publius1
P.S.: Remember how Clinton lost Congress in 1994 and the resulting Republican arrogance led them to so alienate America that the president won re-election in a walk two years later?

Oh, so that's what that was -- "Republican arrogance." I guess the OKC bombing, Clinton demagoguery, and the media hate campaign had nothing to do with it.

3 posted on 11/04/2002 4:42:43 AM PST by Cincinatus
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To: publius1
We shall see.
4 posted on 11/04/2002 4:45:11 AM PST by Non-Sequitur
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To: publius1
capitalized on Hutchinson's apparent hypocrisy

If he wants to wear his piety on his sleeve, well then, he's gotta walk the walk. He didn't, I guess.

5 posted on 11/04/2002 4:45:29 AM PST by RJCogburn
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To: Cincinatus
Morris knows the fix is in.
6 posted on 11/04/2002 4:45:33 AM PST by NY Catholic
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To: publius1
They don't call him "Dick" for nothing.
7 posted on 11/04/2002 4:45:49 AM PST by jerod
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To: publius1
This guy's been suckin too many toes.

Wednesday morning his diet will change..........

he'll be eatin crow!!

8 posted on 11/04/2002 4:46:59 AM PST by CROSSHIGHWAYMAN
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To: publius1
Uh, he's using Zogby's numbers? 'Nuff said.
9 posted on 11/04/2002 4:47:03 AM PST by mewzilla
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To: Thane_Banquo
The only poll that counts is Nov 5,2002. I will wait for that polls results.You can drive your self bonkers by reading and beleiving all these other polls.I have not been reading the polls and whenever the pundits speak on tv, I change the channel.My family has already voted(not a dem vote in the bunch).I am praying that the people will see the light and give the pubs the nod.
10 posted on 11/04/2002 4:47:51 AM PST by retiredtexan
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To: publius1

alt  

11 posted on 11/04/2002 4:48:59 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Cincinatus
P.S.: Remember how Clinton lost Congress in 1994 and the resulting Republican arrogance led them to so alienate America that the president won re-election in a walk two years later?

Nothing to do with the quality of his falling down opponent?

Colin Powell would have sent the big creep limping back to his trailer park in Little Rocks.

12 posted on 11/04/2002 4:50:08 AM PST by CROSSHIGHWAYMAN
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To: publius1
Great column, Dick. The "Toe Sucker" can rehash the statistics that are easily available on the internet and spin it with his own agenda. A senior in high school could have done as much.

No need to watch him tonight on Hannity and really get the blood boiling. You now know what he is going to say anyway and, already, it is passe information.

13 posted on 11/04/2002 4:50:13 AM PST by MHT
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To: retiredtexan
Late Shift Appears to Favor GOP - Richard Benedetto, USA Today

14 posted on 11/04/2002 4:50:31 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Careful, there. That could be considered pornography in some circles.
15 posted on 11/04/2002 4:54:26 AM PST by Izzy Dunne
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To: MHT
No need to watch him tonight on Hannity and really get the blood boiling.

Watch, get mad as all getout, then vote and encourage others to do the same. (Doesn't apply if you are already 100% committed to voting.)

16 posted on 11/04/2002 4:54:33 AM PST by Aeronaut
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Well, at least your article on the House indicates that we will not have to worry about calling another "Dick" Mr. Speaker for the next two years!
17 posted on 11/04/2002 4:56:02 AM PST by MHT
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To: publius1
Two new polls put the Republicans up 6 and 7 points, respectively, in the generic. Shouldn't such a massive shift in the generic translate into Republican victories in close Senate races?
18 posted on 11/04/2002 4:56:07 AM PST by aristeides
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
I've read several articles this morning reporting a shift
to Republicans as the "undecideds" make their choices. Morris is proving himself to be a waterboy for the Democrats
even though, according to him, he's now an Independent.
19 posted on 11/04/2002 4:57:49 AM PST by Russ
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To: Aeronaut
Maybe Dick is trying to get you to do just that. :-)

Also, folks, remember, this is the guy who said that 1) Hillary would NEVER run for Senate (and this guy should "know" her), and 2) If she did, she would be destroyed.

He also called the LAST midterm elections wrong, I believe, but so did everybody. ;-)

All that counts is November 5th. I have a good feeling. Not all good, but not all bad. :-)

--KL
20 posted on 11/04/2002 4:58:59 AM PST by Kip Lange
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