Much, MUCH warmer.
I only wish I could share your confidence. My guess, which has at least a 50% chance of being wrong, is that bin Laden, humiliated by his inability to quickly follow-up 9/11 with attacks comparable in scope, is laying low in hopes acts will soon speak louder than his words could. Don't underestimate our adversaries; they may be complete idiots, but it is safer to assume otherwise.