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Pakistan's Musharraf Says Nuclear Option Insane
Reuters ^

Posted on 06/01/2002 8:10:48 AM PDT by RCW2001

Pakistan's Musharraf Says Nuclear Option Insane
Last Updated: June 01, 2002 10:57 AM ET
By Andrew Browne and Simon Denyer

NEW DELHI/ISLAMABAD (Reuters) - Declaring the nuclear option unthinkable, Pakistan's military President Pervez Musharraf on Saturday sought to calm escalating fears that a military standoff with India could lead to atomic war.

As the United Nations prepared to evacuate families of its staff from Pakistan, Musharraf said in a television interview, "I don't think either side is that irresponsible to go to that limit."

"I would even go to the extent of saying one shouldn't even be discussing these things, because any sane individual cannot even think of going into this unconventional war, whatever the pressures," he told CNN.

The United States, Britain and other Western nations have flown home diplomats and their families from India and Pakistan and urged tens of thousands of their citizens to leave.

A million troops are facing each other across the India-Pakistan border, where armies have kept up a steady exchange of mortar and machinegun fire that has left dozens dead and displaced thousands of villagers over the past fortnight.

Adding to the tension, two grenade attacks in Indian Kashmir on Saturday killed one civilian and wounded 24. They followed two similar assaults on Friday. India blames the attacks on militants armed and trained by Pakistan who are fighting Indian rule in the disputed Himalayan region.

India has said it will not be the first to strike with nuclear weapons. Musharraf said he would go beyond that.

"We've called for a no-war pact (with India), that there shouldn't be any war," he said. "We've called for denuclearization of South Asia, so we've called for a reduction of forces."

INDIA ASKS: WHAT IF?

India is estimated to have 100-150 nuclear warheads and Pakistan 25-50. Last month, Pakistan tested ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads deep into India.

Reflecting growing unease among Indians, the latest edition of the respected magazine India Today carried a cover picture of urban workers fleeing an orange mushroom cloud over the Gateway of India in Bombay.

"WHAT IF..." read the headline.

Secretary of State Colin Powell invoked the threat of nuclear war in a BBC interview on Friday.

"Now, I think both sides recognize that the most horrific thing that could happen in the year 2002 is, for the second time in history, a nuclear exchange to take place," he said.

There are fears that any war would quickly escalate into nuclear exchanges that could kill millions and obliterate the main cities of both countries.

The most likely flashpoint is Kashmir, over which the countries have fought two of their three wars since independence from Britain in 1947.

Indian police said the first grenade attack on Saturday in Kashmir was on a police post in Anantnag. A total of 15 people were wounded, one critically.

The second attack on a security patrol in Kulgam town in the Anantnag district killed a civilian and wounded nine.

Meanwhile, a diplomatic war between India and Pakistan took a dramatic twist.

India said a staff member at its High Commission (embassy) in Islamabad was abducted by plainclothes men.

On Friday, Indian officials said a Pakistan diplomat in New Delhi was picked up after being caught red-handed accepting classified papers from a retired air force sergeant. Pakistan angrily accused India of torturing the diplomat.

NO PANIC EXODUS

A U.N. source said hundreds of family members of Pakistan-based staff could be evacuated.

Japan urged its nationals to postpone travel to India, after a similar warning about travel to Pakistan. It repeated a call to Japanese already in India to leave. France and Belgium urged their citizens to quit the subcontinent.

There was no sign of a mass exodus of foreign nationals from India, despite the travel warnings.

"Seats are easily available on all airlines," said Akhil Chugh, in charge of international ticketing at the New Delhi office of travel firm Thomas Cook (India) Ltd.

Vivek Anand, a British Airways official at New Delhi airport, said: "Our operations are normal. There has been no major blocking of seats and we are not yet expecting any surge in demand."

A U.S. embassy spokesman in New Delhi said about 50 non-essential staff members, including diplomats and their families, left on Friday night, some on scheduled holidays.

"More will continue to leave tonight and every night," Gordon Duguid told Reuters. He said the estimated 60,000 U.S. nationals in India included Indian migrants with U.S. passports.

U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz said on Saturday the call for U.S. nationals to leave India reflected a high level of concern about a potential war.

Wolfowitz, speaking to reporters on the sidelines of a security conference in Singapore, also called for calm.

"We would like to see India continue to exercise restraint. Clearly the goal is to ratchet down this crisis," he said.

The build-up of troops along the border was triggered by a bloody December attack on the Indian parliament that New Delhi blamed on Pakistani-based militants.

Tensions flared again after a raid on an Indian army camp in Kashmir on May 14 that left 34 people dead, including the gunmen.

INDIA WANTS ACTION, NOT WORDS

Musharraf has pledged to halt border incursions by Islamic militant groups, but it is far from clear he has the authority to deliver. Kashmir is a popular cause in Pakistan, and militants already based in Indian Kashmir are capable of launching attacks at any time.

Indian Home (interior) Minister Lal Krishna Advani said New Delhi was waiting for deeds, not words, from Pakistan.

He told a rally in Kashmir that India was "seriously considering how it can counter this proxy war that has been going on for two decades now."

"Which is why we will not take any decisions based on what you (Pakistan) say but on what you do. And this is something you should know."

"We will take decisions based on what happens on the ground," he added.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News
KEYWORDS: southasialist

1 posted on 06/01/2002 8:10:48 AM PDT by RCW2001
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To: RCW2001
"We've called for a no-war pact (with India), that there shouldn't be any war"

Yes, and in the meanwhile he carries on a proxy war via terrorism against India. Classic.

2 posted on 06/01/2002 8:22:30 AM PDT by AM2000
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To: RCW2001
This might mean something if Musharraf had total control over his military.
3 posted on 06/01/2002 8:31:16 AM PDT by Timesink
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To: RCW2001
Good post, hopefully this will be a positive development. Because Musharraf better realize that if this escalates further, he might not be in control of it. What he needs to be talking about more is stopping all terrorism in Kashmir, and finding Osama Bin Laden on his other border, which he doesn't mention very much. Those are the keys to stabilizing the region. But this could be seen as nothing more than grandstanding.
4 posted on 06/01/2002 8:32:55 AM PDT by Golden Eagle
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To: RCW2001
He's trying to buy time.
5 posted on 06/01/2002 8:38:23 AM PDT by Aaron_A
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To: Golden Eagle
What makes you so sure OBL is in the Northwest Territories? Why couldn't he be in Azad Kashmir?
6 posted on 06/01/2002 8:40:39 AM PDT by aristeides
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To: RCW2001
There was no sign of a mass exodus of foreign nationals from India, despite the travel warnings. >> these silly travel and get out warnings are nothing but pressure tactics on India and pakistan.

the two countries might have lousy oracle programmers - but they are certainly not suicidal.

7 posted on 06/01/2002 8:42:01 AM PDT by anu_shr
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To: aristeides
I haven't heard anyone that has known for sure where Bin Laden is, or even if he is alive. He could be anywhere (I hope he is already where he's guaranteed to end up, guess where that is). But the most quantity of credible reports and sightings have been in western Pakistan. I don't think he'd want to be in Kasmir, right in the middle of the India/Pak war, since he's not any sort of field general. But if he was, maybe the Indians could serve as a better version of the local "tribe" fighters for our airstrikes than the Afghans have? India's ground troop quantity combined with our air power could (would) be lethal. It may be required to get Bin Laden.
8 posted on 06/01/2002 8:50:13 AM PDT by Golden Eagle
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To: AM2000
"Yes, and in the meanwhile he carries on a proxy war via terrorism against India. Classic."

Standard islam Balkanization. Instead of being grateful they have their own country - Pakistan - and aren't still part of India and being hunted down in the streets, they continue their drive to dominate the world. Allah wants it, don't you know? I think they're about to find out what Allah wants. God loves us, but it's a "tough love" and even His patience has limits.

9 posted on 06/01/2002 9:07:25 AM PDT by Let's Roll
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To: RCW2001
Secretary of State Colin Powell invoked the threat of nuclear war in a BBC interview on Friday.
"Now, I think both sides recognize that the most horrific thing that could happen in the year 2002 is, for the second time in history, a nuclear exchange to take place," he said.

This is a peculiar phraseology for Powell to use. There was not an nuclear exchange in 1945. There has never been a nuclear exchange. An exchange refers to two countries bombing each other with nuclear weapons. The end of World War II was brought about by a nuclear attack, not an exchange -- Japan did not have an atomic bomb with which to retaliate.

It makes a big difference. When would a nuclear exchange end? Only when one side had used up its arsenal?

10 posted on 06/01/2002 9:13:08 AM PDT by Mitchell
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To: Let's Roll
Standard islam Balkanization. Instead of being grateful they have their own country - Pakistan - and aren't still part of India and being hunted down in the streets, they continue their drive to dominate the world.

Wouldnt be too certain of that. Both countries have legitimate claims to Kashmir. Pakistan maintains that a vote on the disposition of Kashmir was agreed to over sixty years ago but that the Indians renegged. Additionally, about 90% of the population of Kashmir is now and always has been Muslim but they are governed by a far away Indian government. I guess you dont believe in people having the right to self determination if they're Muslim?

BTW, are you familiar with the term "Manifest Destiny"? Try looking it up in any American History book. Dont ascribe to others, intentions you wont to ourselves.

11 posted on 06/01/2002 9:37:36 AM PDT by Dave S
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To: RCW2001
Musharraf: What are we gonna do tonight, Brain?

Bin Laden: Same thing we do everynight, Pinky -- Try to take over the world!

12 posted on 06/01/2002 9:41:03 AM PDT by mhking
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To: Golden Eagle
(I hope he is already where he's guaranteed to end up, guess where that is).

The place where they de-flower virgins? ;-)

13 posted on 06/01/2002 9:43:47 AM PDT by varon
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To: varon
(I hope he is already where he's guaranteed to end up, guess where that is).

The place where they de-flower virgins? ;-)

No, that place is Hell for the sinful virgins.

14 posted on 06/01/2002 9:49:22 AM PDT by JimRed
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To: *southasia_list
Bump list
15 posted on 06/01/2002 10:43:14 AM PDT by Free the USA
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To: varon
The place where they de-flower virgins? ;-) No no that's the Sheikh of Kuwait. One a month before and after Desert Storm. :)
16 posted on 06/01/2002 10:58:43 AM PDT by swarthyguy
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To: Dave S
"I guess you dont believe in people having the right to self determination if they're Muslim?"

Whoops - do I feel busted - you're just too smart for me. And Islam's destiny becomes more manifest every day.

17 posted on 06/01/2002 12:11:15 PM PDT by Let's Roll
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