need RFK on the ballot in Minnesota and Pennsylvania to 100% guarantee Trump victory.
Correct answer.
What most folks don’t get—but the Democratic insiders know—is that any third party that gathers significant votes guarantees a President Trump victory.
The reason has nothing to do with ideology—it does not matter who the candidates are.
In 2024 here is the key:
https://news.gallup.com/poll/403166/americans-trust-media-remains-near-record-low.aspx
President Trump’s voter don’t watch the mass media—and on the rare occasions they do they do not trust it.
Meanwhile any third party will advertise on mass media and will rely on news coverage and mass media talk shows to get them publicity.
The “buzz” will be watched by Democrats or Democrat leaning Independents.
The third party has no practical way to spread their message to Republican voters.