Will the number of independents who vote for Haley be greater than the number of Trump supporters who just stay home? There are many people who voted for Trump in 2016 who had never voted before at all. I cannot see those people voting for Haley.
I don’t know
But that will be negated by the republicans who don’t want a second Biden term
The turnout will be great among Republicans
Republicans need independents
Democrats will not be motivated unless it’s trump