No, It’s actually talking about Russia who are right across the straight from them. They’re concerned that joining NATO will cause friction with Russia and could lead to a war like the one in Ukraine.
The straight what?
“NATO friction” didn’t cause the Ukraine war
that was solely Putin’s choice to illegally invade a sovereign country
and now Russia is talking about invading ALL of Europe ... that’s why Sweden (and others) are sensibly preparing, just in case