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Myanmar's spiraling violence spawns strategic risks for India
Nikkei Asia ^

Posted on 11/27/2023 6:05:28 PM PST by FarCenter

NEW DELHI -- Fierce fighting in Myanmar has raised "deep concern" in India, which is closely monitoring security along the countries' shared border while bracing for an influx of refugees.

The military regime that seized power in Myanmar in February 2021, ousting the democratically elected government of Aung San Suu Kyi, is facing arguably its biggest test yet in the form of a coordinated armed resistance. The renewed instability has raised alarm in countries that border the troubled Southeast Asian state, including rival powers India and China.

Operation 1027 -- as the resistance offensive is named, after the date it started in late October -- "has shaken the military" in Myanmar, observed Udai Bhanu Singh, a strategic analyst formerly with the New Delhi-based Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses.

He said that Myanmar's strategic location has always made it a high priority for Indian policymakers, but that "certain developments have escalated the pace of events in Myanmar, and as a consequence the response from India needs to be appropriate and swift."

"Ironically, it is China that is demanding border security from the Myanmar regime even as Myanmar handed over thousands of telecom fraud suspects to China recently. It is clear that the Myanmar regime is no longer in control over large swaths of its territory and that includes the border with India and the border with China."

India shares a 1,643 kilometer border with Myanmar, which should give it a gateway to the economies of Southeast Asia. Myanmar is integral to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's "Act East" policy, aimed at promoting economic cooperation and cultural ties as well as developing strategic relationships with the ASEAN bloc and other countries in the Indo-Pacific region.

The neighbors also share a 725 km boundary in the Bay of Bengal. There, India's goal is to boost maritime security cooperation with ASEAN as part of a broader effort under the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, or Quad -- a grouping with the U.S., Japan and Australia that, analysts say, is designed to contain Chinese influence.

The reality on the ground in Myanmar, however, seriously complicates India's strategic objectives, while creating other headaches for the government.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War
KEYWORDS: burma; burmashave; india; myanmar
Unlike the Israeli - Hamas thing, the Myanmar civil war is an important conflict.
1 posted on 11/27/2023 6:05:28 PM PST by FarCenter
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To: FarCenter

why?


2 posted on 11/27/2023 6:09:23 PM PST by bankwalker (Repeal the 19th ...)
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To: FarCenter

Unlike the Israeli
- Hamas thing,
this war is really
an important thing.

Myanmar shave


3 posted on 11/27/2023 6:16:34 PM PST by null and void (If you support monsters you will die in the cross fire.)
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To: FarCenter

Don’t give Victoria Nuland any ideas.


4 posted on 11/27/2023 6:18:10 PM PST by Trailerpark Badass (“There should be a whole lot more going on than throwing bleach,” said one woman)
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To: null and void

That was good.

5.56mm


5 posted on 11/27/2023 6:18:28 PM PST by M Kehoe (Quid Pro Joe and the Ho have got to go)
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To: FarCenter

6 posted on 11/27/2023 6:32:51 PM PST by Larry Lucido (Donate! Don't just post clickbait!)
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To: FarCenter

how?


7 posted on 11/27/2023 8:17:50 PM PST by TigersEye (Our Republic is under seige by globalist Marxists. Hold fast!)
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To: null and void

“Myanmar shave”

I remember the signs.


8 posted on 11/28/2023 6:50:21 AM PST by dljordan
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To: dljordan

Me too. I’m an old phart that’s how I remember them, how do you remember them?


9 posted on 11/28/2023 6:53:12 AM PST by null and void (If you support monsters you will die in the cross fire.)
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To: null and void

“Me too. I’m an old phart that’s how I remember them, how do you remember them?”

Driving down Hwy 70 from Nashville to Memphis. I also remember ‘Visit Rock City’ on the roofs of the barns.


10 posted on 11/28/2023 8:33:18 AM PST by dljordan
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