A minor point -
The Turkish navy considerably outnumbers the Russian Black Sea fleet. And it seems it has substantial tech advantages too.
“The Turkish navy considerably outnumbers the Russian Black Sea fleet. And it seems it has substantial tech advantages too”
Erdogan profits personally from Ukrainian Black Sea grain shipments.
This war is a long term opportunity for Turkey - if the Russian Black Sea Fleet gets hit substantially at some point, increased and enduring Turkish dominance over those waters would result. There are a lot of valuable hydrocarbon deposits under the sea floor there, and a lot of cargo traffic to tax.
An end state where several more Russian surface combatants and subs were removed for good, and the Russians were ejected from their base in Sevastopol, would hugely increase Turkish Naval dominance in the Black Sea.