Very close.
No matter who wins, Turkey is likely to remain it’s own individual, majority Muslim culture. The thing is Erdogan always seems willing to stir up problems in that part of the world. He has often threatened NATO that if Turkey is not admitted to that organization, Erdogan will then send even more uneducated, unemployable Syrians to central European nations as revenge. He is also very anti-Israel.
Erdogan is pro Turkey. Everything else is The Swamp and people need to stop presuming that countries are obligated to adhere to policies the US neocons might like.
Majority Muslim? So is Indonesia. This is inconsequential. They are not obligated to be Christian.
And btw, Turkey has been in NATO since the 1950s. It is the EU that excludes them.
I understand Erdogan has an Ottoman Empire fixation as well. That kind of megalomania in that part to the world usually begs the question..”what could go wrong?”