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Why Trump Is Favored To Win The 2024 Republican Presidential Primary
fivethirtyeight ^
| 11/15/22
| Nathaniel Rakich
Posted on 12/19/2022 5:35:26 AM PST by central_va
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Good analysis.
To: central_va
Because he won it twice before?
2
posted on
12/19/2022 5:37:24 AM PST
by
Macoozie
(Handcuffs and Orange Jumpsuits)
To: central_va
3
posted on
12/19/2022 5:37:43 AM PST
by
Gene Eric
(Don't be a statist!)
To: central_va
It's a fair article. It uses statistics and historical data fairly, but also notes uncertainties and some unique factors that may make the historical data inapplicable.
In other words, WTFK?
To: central_va
Why Trump Is Favored To Win The 2024 Republican Presidential Primary Probably, also depends how many more 'Major Announcements' by Trump.
5
posted on
12/19/2022 5:47:45 AM PST
by
tlozo
(Better to Die on Your Feet than Live on Your Knees)
To: tlozo
Probably, also depends how many more 'Major Announcements' by Trump. Agreed....
6
posted on
12/19/2022 5:55:01 AM PST
by
bagster
("Even bad men love their mamas".)
To: central_va
I think I’m done with Trump, not because of outside forces but because of his constant self-inflicted wounds.
-absolutely no change in his choice of people who surround him -in fact, it’s gotten worse.
-defense of the vax.
-defense of Religious Persecution Act (gay-marriage)
We cannot afford 4 more wasted years with damaging, dreadful key position picks of Trump (Sessions, Barr, Pompeo, .... )
7
posted on
12/19/2022 5:56:21 AM PST
by
Baldwin77
(Super, Duper, Ultra Maga, subject of the Ultra Maga King Donald)
To: Bruce Campbells Chin
Every run for the party’s nomination for the office of the Presidency is a crap shoot. Some surprising things have happened on the way to the bank before. Even after getting into the bank, there are serious factors that may result in the derailment of any campaign, and it doesn’t even need to be the truth.
Just who has the loudest bullhorn.
8
posted on
12/19/2022 5:57:29 AM PST
by
alloysteel
(People who think they know everything are a great annoyance to those of us who do - Isaac Asimov)
To: Baldwin77
I'm inclined to agree but, I'll likely still vote for him if he wins the primary.
The FR pic of him holding up the fag flag unnerves me. Speculation was he would go all out in his second term since he would have nothing to lose. He could go all out to the left.
After all, he was a liberal democrat before he was a patriot.
9
posted on
12/19/2022 6:03:29 AM PST
by
LouAvul
(Daniel 4:17: "..the most High ruleth in the kingdom of men, and giveth it to whomsoever he will.." )
To: Baldwin77
I think I’m done with Trump, not because of outside forces but because of his constant self-inflicted wounds. -absolutely no change in his choice of people who surround him -in fact, it’s gotten worse. -defense of the vax. -defense of Religious Persecution Act (gay-marriage) We cannot afford 4 more wasted years with damaging, dreadful key position picks of Trump (Sessions, Barr, Pompeo, .... ) Sadly, I agree with the above, and if Trump is the nominee, he'll get the Kari Lake treatment -- i.e. once again, the RINOs will allow the Rats to cheat.
To: LouAvul
To: central_va
This was before Kanye, NFTs, and the coming indictments.
In political terms, this article—at a month old—is ancient history.
To: HandBasketHell; Baldwin77
And thus are weak willed women turned into whores by pimps. They are trained by abuse and mind games to submit. Sad.
13
posted on
12/19/2022 6:16:02 AM PST
by
WMarshal
(Neocons and leftards are the same species of vicious rat)
To: Baldwin77
14
posted on
12/19/2022 6:18:53 AM PST
by
Mr. K
(No consequence of repealing obamacare is worse than obamacare its ? And the ambassador to Ukraineelf)
To: alloysteel
Just who has the loudest bullhorn.
**********
Usually one with the most “BULLS..T” to spread around. The
run up to Tuesday, November 5, 2024 will be interesting.
15
posted on
12/19/2022 6:19:23 AM PST
by
deport
To: WMarshal
And thus are weak willed women turned into whores by pimps. They are trained by abuse and mind games to submit. Sad.Deserves a repeat.
16
posted on
12/19/2022 6:19:43 AM PST
by
BlackbirdSST
(Trump WON!!! He will win 2024!)
To: central_va
He’s under 50%, but with a very strong base. Defeating him will take a unified opposition, which brings about the very ironic twist that any Deep State/RINO candidacy helps him. If Republican’s problem with Trump is that they believe he is corrupt, incompetent, morally repugnant, etc., they’ll eventually support DeSantis before the primaries start. If they oppose DeSantis, you know their real problem with Trump is that he’s a conservative.
17
posted on
12/19/2022 6:24:43 AM PST
by
dangus
To: Baldwin77
We cannot afford 4 more wasted years with damaging, dreadful key position picks of Trump (Sessions, Barr, Pompeo Will Pence, Christie, Noem, Haley, Cruz or Hogan make better choices?
To: Baldwin77
I’ll take solid judges and lower gas prices. Thanks much
19
posted on
12/19/2022 6:28:43 AM PST
by
Nifster
(OI see puppy dogs in the clouds )
To: LouAvul
Oh noes. Don’t ever mention Ronald Reagan
20
posted on
12/19/2022 6:29:39 AM PST
by
Nifster
(OI see puppy dogs in the clouds )
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