Posted on 11/08/2022 8:49:00 AM PST by PermaRag
I’ve been working with election data since the mid 1990s and demographic/polling data since the 1980s, plus I’m a highly skeptical type by nature and not exactly what anyone would call a “glass half full” person.
So I discounted many things that seemed a little too good to be true, and this time around they happened to be exactly that in many cases.
I’m a lot better at ferreting out bad outcomes than good ones — I was one of millions who never imagined that Trump had any *real* chance to win in 2016, for example, even when the polls were slightly optimistic towards the end — though I did think he had the best chance of any of our candidates vs. Hillary, as if that required any special insight considering the rest of the field. :-)
I am very disappointed in the outcome.
Congratulations and kudos for a spot-on prediction. Not happy with the outcome, but glad to know there are realists here.
Adios from the future, TG24. Good riddance.
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