If FED does not raise interest rates to neutral level (about 4.5% based on real inflation and historical experience),
the inflation will last a long time.
When one is sick, it is best to take the bitter medicine for a quicker recovery. Kids don’t think that way. Smart adults do.
Western economies are truly stuck at this moment. Mortgage holders can’t afford higher rates, but as consumers they can’t afford to eat either with inflation as it is. I guess we finally are at a place to see that central banking isn’t some magical solution we all thought it was.
The FOMC meets again on the 26th. I expect at least a 50 point raise, and would not be surprised if it was a full 1%.