Posted on 05/16/2022 7:16:04 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
No nation is mature enough to handle planet killer weapons.
Maybe, maybe not. In Korea they had hundreds of thousands of veterans who had fought the Nationalists and Japanese for 20 years. Many of them were from large families. They knew privation and horror.
Today's Chinese military has never been in a fight. The officers buy their commissions in order to make money. All the troops are the only child from their parents.
The battle in the Donbas has settled into an artillery duel where the Russians assault deeply entrenched Ukrainian positions. It's almost like WWI, so I'm sure casualties are very high on both sides, but since the Ukrainians are defending, probably significantly higher for the Russians. Meanwhile, because it began mobilizing when the war started, Ukraine now has 1 million men under arms.
If the Russians had any brains, they'd propose a settlement where they retreat to the Feb. 23rd lines, and ask for recognition of the Crimea annexation and annexing the parts of Donbas they already occupied and call that victory.
Well put.
"A Child's Garden Of Military Thinking", by pierrem15.
Scheduled to be released in fall of 2022.
Teaching moment? How about a serious, open minded look at the last 5,000 years of human history? It’s all there for anyone who can read.
The simple fact is that the net balance of Russian territorial gains since February is diminishing every day. Ukrainian SOF is even able to operate far behind Russian lines, blowing bridges and harassing Russian forces. Russia has already retreated out of most of the Kharkov oblast, which is exposing the northern flank of their forces in Donbas to Ukrainian attack and artillery on their supply routes. Right now there is a WWI like slog around Severodonetsk.
Whether Ukraine possesses the forces to eject the Russian army from the rest of Ukraine is open to question. But Russia certainly isn't winning, and if Russia is unlucky, the Russian army in Donbas may reach the same condition as the Germany Army in 1918 where it is no longer willing to fight and begins to withdraw regardless of orders.
Chinese troops need special counseling if they spend a week or two in the field. Very tough. /s
There's a difference between mockery and an ad-hominem attack.
I was mocking you.
Taking Western-Ukrainian Media propaganda at face value is not a place I start my thinking at.
Where are the Ukie mechanized forces gonna get diesel to turn over their engines, now that Kremenchuk got plastered yet again?
From the herds of Finnish unicorns being driven south to Ukraine by the Allied Lapland cavalry?
Russian fools have decided to invade a country almost 1/3 its size in population that has an almost unlimited amount of supplies available from countries representing 60% of the world's GDP.
The trucks that will be destroyed on the roads in from western Ukraine by Russian aircraft that control that airspace.
BTW, the guys at the Duran mentioned today that one of the problems in bringing fuel from the West is that the rail gauges are different - the very same problem the Wehrmacht ran into during WWII:
Alex Christoforou:
here the the issue is going to be for the military, so that they can keep this war going. and the only way that they're going to be able to get fuel to the front lines is if they move the fuel now from poland and slovakia.
the problem with moving the fuel via rail from poland and slovakia is that the railroad tracks are a different configuration.
and so it's going to be super difficult to get the fuel up to the border of poland and slovakia.
to get it there and then to switch up, offload the fuel.
unload the fuel, switch it over to different railway tracks and then move that fuel to where it needs to go.
and it's going to be a massive undertaking and then that's all with the assumption that the russians don't do anything to blow apart the fuel that's moving from the west to the center and to the east of ukraine.
That have to travel under the eye of the jabos of the Russian air force...
LOL The Russian air force seems to be keeping rather low to the ground these days and doesn’t venture too far inside Ukrainian controlled territory. The only use of the strategic bombers so far is to launch cruise missiles.
You have a very rosy-eyed view of Russian prospects, my friend. All the Russian assets are constantly under the view of surveillance satellites in low earth orbit, controlled by several entities which give/sell the information to the Ukrainians.
Which means Russian assets are constantly in danger from precise drone and artillery attacks. The Russians do not seem to have a lot of smart munitions.
The Russian air force does not control the skies over most of Ukraine. They have dominated over the area Russian forces on the ground hold.
It remains to be seen how well the Russians are using their satellite surveillance. So far, it does not look like they are using it very well.
Indeed they are.
You are entirely correct in this point.
And let's not dismiss their murder and torture of thousands of American POW's. Or the deaths of millions of civilians. When I was stationed in Guam in the 80's there were still plenty of people who had first hand experience of Japanese brutality. Pretty much everyone had either first hand knowledge, or a story of a parent, grandparent, cousin or aunt/uncle who were murdered, raped or tortured by Japanese occupiers.
All that said, I don't expect we will have reason to fear a nuclear armed Japan, and don't think we should or would use our nuclear weapons to defend her. If Japan needs nuclear weapons to deter China, that's up to Japan.
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