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To: Zhang Fei

Personally I do think it was a failed blitzkrieg attempt

Have you seen the supposed FSB whistle-blower letter?

https://twitter.com/pourteaux/status/1500207988321226754

The writer, supposedly an FSB officer, actually uses the term “Ukrainian blitzkrieg.”

He describes the political imperatives compelling the blitzkrieg approach, but points out that even in the event of the successful capture of Zelensky in the first few days of the operation, the political options for the Russians would be rather less than ideal.

If it is a fake, it is very interesting fake and kudos to the faker


4 posted on 03/05/2022 11:13:59 PM PST by Meet the New Boss (In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act)
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To: Meet the New Boss

Another note on official Russian casualties - 500 in 1 week - on average, I’d say the average person *anywhere* today isn’t quite as thrilled to be the equivalent of toilet paper for some national leader to wipe his rear end with, no matter who that leader is. 500 is 1/2 the average Russian KIA in Afghanistan for an entire year. I suspect Putin is going to run into serious problems taking casualty numbers at ~25x its reported Afghan War rate per week with half the Russian population that it had during the Afghan campaign. All those single son families are gonna be screaming bloody murder.

When you compare Afghanistan to Vietnam, it’s remarkable how much less punishment in body count terms the Russians were able to take before hitting their uncle point. The official Russian KIA number in Afghanistan was 13,000 over about 10 years, which is roughly 1/5 the US number in Vietnam. When you think about the coercive powers of the totalitarian Soviet state vs the anything goes milieu of 60’s and 70’s America - it’s amazing the US hung in there so long.


5 posted on 03/05/2022 11:25:41 PM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: Meet the New Boss

[Personally I do think it was a failed blitzkrieg attempt

Have you seen the supposed FSB whistle-blower letter?

https://twitter.com/pourteaux/status/1500207988321226754

The writer, supposedly an FSB officer, actually uses the term “Ukrainian blitzkrieg.”

He describes the political imperatives compelling the blitzkrieg approach, but points out that even in the event of the successful capture of Zelensky in the first few days of the operation, the political options for the Russians would be rather less than ideal.

If it is a fake, it is very interesting fake and kudos to the faker]


Thanks for the link. I share his view that Putin is not going to use nukes for the same reason as he does - the people around him will balk - his kin and his wish to have some kind of historical legacy. Wiping out your own country kind of puts a crimp in that legacy. A nuclear dirty tricks campaign in Ukraine like the bombs in Russia he pinned on the Chechens? He’d better make real sure there aren’t any Ukrainians or Russians with close kin in Ukraine detailed to his personal bodyguard in the future.


6 posted on 03/05/2022 11:38:54 PM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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