“Reading between his lines, it looks like
*Trump needs at least a 15,000 lead out of Washoe (a flip of 18,000 from 2016) AND
*Clark needs to come in with less than a 900,000 D advantage.”
Ralston is also stating he doesn’t believe indies will break heavily to Trump based on polling. Does Baris think differently? I would think the Libertarians and American Independents might come somewhat our way, and I would presume indies might as well given Covid and the lockdown.
I haven’t talked to Rich about indies.
Team Trump told me that compared to 2016 they were “up with blacks, up with Hispanics, up with Mormons.”