Posted on 10/21/2020 5:04:07 AM PDT by knighthawk
Democrats are focusing huge resources on winning the key battleground state Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral college votes in 2020, a state Hillary Clinton lost by 68,000 votes to President Donald Trump in 2016.
Two weeks before election day 2020, the Real Clear Politics Average of Polls shows Biden with a 3.7 point lead over Trump in Pennsylvania. At the same time in the 2016 campaign, the Real Clear Politics Average of Polls showed Hillary Clinton with a 5.7 point lead over Trump. (Clintons lead over Trump was 46.2 percent to 40.5 percent on October 24, 2016, according to the Real Clear Politics Average of Polls for Pennsylvania.)
On election day 2016, Trumps margin of victory over Clinton in Pennsylvania was 1.2 points, 48.8 percent to 47.6 percent, a 6.9 point net swing to Trump from Clinton in the two weeks between the October 24 Real Clear Politics Average of Polls and the final vote tally.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Focus efforts?
While the dem candidate hides in a basement until Thursday evening?
Trump mentioned the the “home state” crap at his really yesterday. Mocked Slow Joe over it.
They wouldn’t be sending Obama into Philadelphia today if Biden had a lead in Pa. If they are in trouble in Philly then the race in Pa. is over for them.
Crazy Bernie is going into PA on Saturday to try to salvage the cratering Biden youth vote.
In Pennsylvania alone, Mr. Biden ran 38 different ads during a single week this month, a sign of how comprehensive his effort has been there this month.”
And Trump is still gaining votes.
Hmmm how could that be!?!?! He is supposedly up big here (rolling eyes)
Trump will win PA.
He will outperform his 16 numbers across the board.
I was confident Trump would win PA in 16... I feel beyond confident hell win in 20.
Ive never seen what I am seeing on the ground here, ever. Lived here since 1986, and the support Trump has on the ground here is like NOTHING Ive ever seen.
Trump will not lose any state he won in 16... and will pick up most if not all states he lost by less than 5. And done be shocked if he picks off a few he lost by more than 5
+10000!!
7m20s: ends with Hannity asking Cahaly if his findings match with FiveThirtyEight re the black American and Latino vote showing a dramatic increase from 2016?
absolutely says Cahaly. across battleground States we’re polling, we see a significant number - in the high/mid-teens for Trump among African American vote, with Biden not getting anywhere near 80 percent he needs. among Hispanics, north of 35 percent and even above 50 percent in States like Florida and Arizona:
VIDEO: 8m12s: 20 Oct: Fox News: Pollster who predicted 2016 result says Trump on track to win again with help of ‘hidden’ support
Trafalgar Group’s Robert Cahaly predicts Trump electoral vote count in the ‘high 270s at minimum’
by Anglica Stabile
I see the president winning with a minimum [electoral vote count in the] high 270s and possibly going up significantly higher based on just how big this undercurrent is, Cahaly told host Sean Hannity.
The Georgia-based Trafalgar Group drew national attention in 2016 as one of the few pollsters showing Trump leading in Pennsylvania, Florida and Michigan on the eve of voting day. Trump swept all three states en route to his stunning win over Hillary Clinton.
This year, Cahaly said he was not even going to try to predict when results will be finalized due to the large amount of mail-in balloting necessitated by the coronavirus pandemic.
However, the chief pollster prediced that Trump will hold Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Georgia — all states where most polls show a statistical dead heat or even a slight Biden lead.
What weve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote, Cahaly explained. There is a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president that theyre not interested in sharing their opinions readily ... These people ... are more hesitant to participate in polls. So if youre not compensating for this ... youre not going to get honest answers....
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/robert-cahaly-trafalgar-group-2020-election-polls
It’s all about fracking and fossil fuels....gas and coal country. Without it...Pa’s economy collapses.
I wonder how much of this is Dems realizing that their usual mass of drone footsoldiers on college campuses are content to be playing video games at home in footie pajamas this election season instead observe f knocking on doors.
And a secret ballot is just that.
Secret.
No leaks.
And then the pollsters have nothing.
Russ wrote:
“They wouldnt be sending Obama into Philadelphia today if Biden had a lead in Pa. If they are in trouble in Philly then the race in Pa. is over for them.”
^^^^^^^ THIS.
Funny. Biden moved from PA when he was 9.
Is that why Slow Joe had a rally in Erie, PA that was closed to the public and wouldnt allow local TV cameras inside??
Trump won almost every county in 2016. I think all of those counties will become much redder and a few blues will flip red. The dems pretty much maxed out Philly last time. Difficult to improve on 100% of registered voters.
Nonstop Biden ads for weeks now. Obama coming, Sanders coming. They should be worried. In Delaware county, more Biden signs than Trump signs. But there were a lot more Hillary signs 4 years ago.
PA is the state that worries me since Roberts made his ridiculous decision the other day. If they can count mail in votes days after the election, despite having no postmark, there is no telling the amount of fraud that will take place.
Roberts needs to retire if he is compromised...
Glenn Beck had an entire program dedicated to how Roberts is compromised, and .crickets...
Beck can be a lunatic, but we never would have known about Soros if not for him.
He may have turned around on Trump, but he nearly destroyed his business with his anti-Trump tirades early on.
What DarthVader said - Post #8!
+1000000
;-))))
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