[Ravi]

22.9% of 4.8 million total votes cast by Wayne/Washtenaw and Ingham in 2016. These are the bad blue counties.

Thus far, 2.9 million ballot REQUESTS total. These 3 counties represent 25.16% of all ballot REQUESTS and 23.8% of 1.4 million ballot RETURNS.

At the end of election night, what % of the vote will come from these 3 counties. I would wager less than 22.9%.

If that's the case, then the only way Biden wins MI is to do much better in Oakland and Macomb than Clinton did in 16.

[Coop]

If I understand after a quick perusal, right now during VBM MI Dems are holding serve or maybe have a slight advantage compared to 2016. That strikes me as a very good news. If the GOP outperforms during in-person voting and ups its game in GOP counties, as expected, MI could be an early call for the GOP (Trump and John James) on 11/3.