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Latest poll shows Donald Trump narrowing deficit in Hillsborough County
floridapolitics.com ^ | ByJanelle Irwin TayloronOctober 17, 2020

Posted on 10/17/2020 11:02:34 AM PDT by 11th_VA

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To: 11th_VA

Hillsborough County is a bluish purple county. Tampa is the majority blue, but the Eastern part is red and Sun City Center is red. That said, I think Hillsborough will be a swing area...


21 posted on 10/17/2020 11:58:47 AM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Proud to be a DeplorableAmerican with a Deplorable family...even the dog is, too. :-) Trump 2020t)
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To: LS
Latest voter registration stats: of “new” black voters (i.e., in last year) 64% registered as . . . wait for it . . . INDEPENDENTS. 4% as Rs. Only 62% registered as Ds.

It doesn't add up to 100%, I think either the 64% or 62% is a typo.

22 posted on 10/17/2020 12:05:22 PM PDT by rfp1234 (Caveat Emperor)
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To: LS

It’s still a great number, though. Thank you.


23 posted on 10/17/2020 12:06:47 PM PDT by rfp1234 (Caveat Emperor)
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To: Deplorable American1776

I watched an interesting video about swing counties/bellwethers in this election. The commentator said Hillsborough used to be a reliable bellwether of who would win FL but not anymore. DJT lost Hillsborough but won the state so it can’t be much of a bellwether now.

The commentator said watch St Lucie county as a bellwether instead. I can’t comment about that, not knowing anything about that county (seat is Ft Pierce), but I found this info:

“St. Lucie county flipped Republican in the last Presidential election, after voting Democratic in the previous four. In the last Presidential election, St. Lucie county flipped Republican, 49.5% to 47.1%”


24 posted on 10/17/2020 12:18:53 PM PDT by plushaye (God wins! Anarchy begone in Jesus Name!)
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To: rfp1234

Agreed. I figured 62% as Independent was high. 32% is still startling. But when it comes to the DEMs, you can never be too sure about anything over 100% with voter totals. ;)


25 posted on 10/17/2020 12:20:19 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: freddy005

Hillsborough County always goes to the Democrats in the presidentials. I’ve lived here for 34 years and I don’t remember any election where that did not hold. It has always voted opposite the rest of the state, just like Miami-Dade. It’s never been a belwether. Especially now with the recent massive influx of newly-arrived and registered Puerto Ricans since the 2016 general, it will remain so. They vote Democrat en masse.


26 posted on 10/17/2020 12:20:49 PM PDT by 4Runner
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To: Gay State Conservative

“Doesn’t Hillsborough always go Rat?”
__________________________________________

Hillsborough went...

2008: Bamster +7.2% over Juan McQueeg

2012: Bamster +6.8% over Mittens

2016: Hildabeast 6.9% over DJT

So, Biden is now +9.2% in this St. Pete poll that oversampled Ds by 9%...

It is interesting that DJT received almost 13% of the Black vote and was tied with Sleepy at 47% for Hispanic voters...

It will all come down to turnout...get your voters out...or mailing in...


27 posted on 10/17/2020 12:22:58 PM PDT by MCEscherHammer
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To: M-cubed

if the Dems had run Mickey Mouse instead of Plugs Biden..they’d be up 20 points!”

I don’t like him. Not funny and a money-grabber.


28 posted on 10/17/2020 12:24:55 PM PDT by The Antiyuppie (When small men cast long shadows, then it is very late in the day.)
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To: 4Runner

Hillsborough County always goes to the Democrats in the presidentials. I’ve lived here for 34 years and I don’t remember any election where that did not hold. It has always voted opposite the rest of the state, just like Miami-Dade. It’s never been a belwether. Especially now with the recent massive influx of newly-arrived and registered Puerto Ricans since the 2016 general, it will remain so. They vote Democrat en masse.
____________________________________________________________

Thanks for the explanation! Let’s just hope Trump can repeat the win in FL like he did in 2016! Go Trump!!!


29 posted on 10/17/2020 12:56:28 PM PDT by freddy005
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To: 11th_VA

Biden claimed 16% support from Republican voters

I’m calling bs on this poll.


30 posted on 10/17/2020 12:59:00 PM PDT by Flick Lives (My work's illegal, but at least it's honest. - Capt. Malcolm Reynolds)
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To: 11th_VA

Which is where?


31 posted on 10/17/2020 1:12:17 PM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
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To: MCEscherHammer
"So, Biden is now +9.2% in this St. Pete poll that oversampled Ds by 9%..."

Source? Maybe I missed it but I didn't see anything in the article that revealed the partisan breakdown of the poll.

32 posted on 10/17/2020 2:27:33 PM PDT by PermaRag (WANTED: millions of patriotic gun owners who are willing to trade bullets for freedom)
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To: SES1066
"For a Republican Presidential Candidate to challenge in Hillsborough makes the Democrats fear for the near-legendary I-4 Corridor that runs from Daytona to St Petersburg and has been indicative for many recent Presidential Race outcomes."

They might want to stop putting many eggs in the I-4 basket. That corridor has a huge sinkhole right in the middle of it. The Orlando area that once attracted Walt Disney, specifically Orange County, Osceola County (Kissimmee) and the now-deteriorating Seminole County have all gone (or are in the process of going, in the case of Seminole) hard left.

Republican candidates for President won metro Orlando every single time from 1948 to 2004. They are 0 for 3 since and the trend isn't a positive one.

33 posted on 10/17/2020 2:34:47 PM PDT by PermaRag (WANTED: millions of patriotic gun owners who are willing to trade bullets for freedom)
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To: MCEscherHammer

Wow, Trump at 47% with Huspanics in Hillsborough County. And important to remember that the historically Republican Cuban population more on the Atlantic side, is not all that big in Hillsborough. Big inroads for Trump into the Puerto Rican’s!


34 posted on 10/17/2020 2:42:57 PM PDT by cookcounty (Susan Rice: G Gordon Liddy times 10.)
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To: rfp1234

34% I
4% R
62% D


35 posted on 10/17/2020 3:20:24 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: 11th_VA

bookmark


36 posted on 10/17/2020 3:48:38 PM PDT by GOP Poet
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To: PermaRag

Found the actual St. Pete’s poll...

Not hard to find...


37 posted on 10/17/2020 4:10:51 PM PDT by MCEscherHammer
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To: LS
Latest voter registration stats: of “new” black voters (i.e., in last year) 64% registered as . . . wait for it . . . INDEPENDENTS. 4% as Rs. Only 62% registered as Ds. This is the end of the DemoKKKrat party.

You're right - if this holds it's the end of the democrat party...

38 posted on 10/17/2020 9:30:42 PM PDT by GOPJ (Biden's base: Why doesn't Biden have rallies in black communities?)
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To: plushaye

Imo Duval, Pinellas, St. Lucie, Monroe.


39 posted on 10/17/2020 9:54:57 PM PDT by Ravi
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