Posted on 10/12/2020 5:47:12 AM PDT by Ravi
10/01/16:
D: 569,806
R: 385,297
NO PARTY: 261,335
10/01/20:
D: 469,150
R: 446,733
NO PARTY: 285,550
DEM ADVANTAGE OVER THE YEARS:
10/01/16:184,509
10/01/20: 22,417
ping
Very interesting... BTW, in addition to your excellent point regarding Ohio counties that border W. Va., remember also that several Kentucky counties border Ohio as well, and those counties have been turning redder by the day since 2016.
I live in Jackson County. When I moved here in 1982, democrats had about a 7-1 advantage and controlled everything in the county and the state. Back then the parties had separate primaries. In Jackson county. the democrats had a huge swanky headquarters and the Republican party voted out of some old lady's garage. When I registered as a Republican, the county clerk actually had to call around to find out where I needed to go to vote in the primary because so few people registered as Republicans he didn't even know offhand.
The situation began to change in the late 1990's and now Republicans in the county outnumber democrats 2-1 and as I mentioned many of those still registered as democrats haven't actually voted for a democrat in decades.
I thought West Virginia was hugely conservative. The 2016 numbers surprise me. 2020 numbers are much better.
That encourages me.
Between KY, WV and PA (all register by Party), you have huge swaths of OH covered in figuring out registration changes.
OH doesn't register voters by party. Neither does MI, MN, VA or WI, unfortunately. But voter registration numbers (by party) from states in those general areas are compelling:
GOP net gains from 2016 to 2020 (Trump's margin of victory in state)
Do those numbers show a party in disarry or GOP presidential candidate destined for defeat by double digits? Hmmm, let me get back to you on that... :-)
I guess we would have to see the Rat net gains from 2016 to 2020 in those states as well to make a worthwhile comparison?
Correct about WV. Should get book-closing numbers in a week or so.
Negative. But that’s a good question. If they were stand-alone, I’d list them as “GOP gains”. Since they include Dem and Repub registration numbers, they are GOP “net gains”. Or, in the case of Iowa, a net loss.
OK thanks...did not realize it was a combo of both. That makes me feel better.
They register as Democrats but vote Republican.
2016 WV went 64% for Trump.
That’s good news.
I’m stuck in NC...but have dreams of moving to a conservative state. West Virginia is appealing to me...and also somewhat close to family in NC. As opposed to Idaho or the Dakotas... :-)
Great stats. I trust that democrat Senator from WV loses next time.
JoMa
WV used to be over 70% Democrat and outside of Presidential races and occasionally the Governor’s race usually voted Democrat for Congress Senate and down ticket. That has changed significantly. WV is really a deep red state with only Manchin hanging on by the skin of his teeth. Once he falls WV will have made the complete transition and realignment to the GOP. It could’ve happened sooner but Republicans didn’t seem to get how to win in WV.
“...I thought West Virginia was hugely conservative...”
I suspect it was the heavy influence of the union. Your registration was known by the union bosses and if you didn’t register Democrat, you would be singled out and troubles would result. That’s the way some unions work.
“you would be singled out and troubles would result.”
Good golly...I’d never thought of that.
That’s just so wrong...and one more democrat thug-thing to be disgusted by.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.