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To: SamAdams76

But how would you propose to change that, when looking at registration metrics? You can cite polls (which often vary, and are usually questionable) about which way independents are breaking. But the polls rely on modeling independent voter turnout. And independents are notoriously late to make up their minds. Rs and Ds are easier. Just assume that 95% of each party votes for their nominated candidate. But even that doesn’t capture turnout. However, it’s a better indicator than polls.


20 posted on 10/12/2020 6:21:59 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop
Trump won Kentucky in 2016 by nearly 600,000 votes. A staggering result considering that the Democrats technically outnumbered Republicans by well over 300,000 in 2016 - in terms of registration.

This can only mean that a great many Democrats voted for Trump.

This is even more pronounced in West Virginia, where Trump beat Hillary by an incredible 68-26 margin - almost 2.5 to one, despite the fact that Democrats had a huge advantage over Republicans in voter registration (that also has closed significantly since then).

21 posted on 10/12/2020 9:29:23 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (Orange Man GOOD!)
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