If NH-02 is now competitive at the U.S. House level, then I have to believe that Trump has a great shot at winning NH (which he lost by fewer than 3,000 votes in 2016). Pence’s rally is in Portsmouth, which is a heavily Democrat part of GOP-leaning NH-01 (although it’s suburbs are more marginal). Portsmouth TV is picked up in SW Maine, which is in the heavily Democrat ME-01, but could help Trump carry Maine statewide. (Coop, there is no way that Trump will carry ME-01, which went to Hillary by 10.54% in 2016; but winning statewide is doable—Trump lost by less than 3% in 2016—and the CD for the ME-02 should be in the bag.)
I agree with you that ME-01 is probably out of reach. I keep mistakenly saying all of Maine’s votes, but I mean three (ME-02 and the 2 state votes). His margin of loss in “deep blue Maine” was only 2.7%.
Sabato’s Crystal gonad say Iowa Senate is lean rat. I’m highly skeptical.
New Minnesota polls, Trafalgar I belive has a dead heat. While MinnPost has Biden +5, and Rat Senator Smith only +4. That’s a very important Senate race. I believe Trump and Lewis can win and make Chuck Schumer crap his pants.
MN-2 election BTW is on by court order, the state law that said it had to delayed because the weed candidate died has been deemed retarded.
What’s your source on NH-2, Pete? You’d think if one was in play it would NH-1.
And this is what I've been waiting for. Think this announcement must have rolled on sometime today:
Pres. Trump to Deliver Remarks at a MAGA Victory Rally in Manchester, NH, 10/25/20
I shortened the title and added the date. Complete title is at the link. Details:
Sun, October 25, 2020
01:00 pm (EDT)
Doors Open: 10:00 am
Pro Star Aviation
8 Kelly Ave.
Londonderry, NH, 03053
As a reminder, Trump lost NH by less than half a point and lost Maine by ~2.7 points.