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To: bort

Thanks. I'm sure you saw this also from Dr. Blitzer. I believe you were referencing this yesterday:

So are registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters "cannibalizing" their voters who are likely to cast ballots? That's one way to look at it; another way is that these are likely very partisan (even among the unaffiliated) voters who want their votes banked and don't care about what happens during the rest of this election; as I noted earlier, they are "done" with this election. As we get into the heat of the electoral battle this month, and with presidential debates and a contested Supreme Court nomination fight to highlight an already bitterly divided electorate, these numbers may provide a sense of where things are heading. But to gauge anything more until the voters have completely spoken on Election Day, and the results are fully compiled and certified, is a fool's errand this year. But again, as I noted earlier: it is 2020, after all.
8 posted on 09/29/2020 12:00:57 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

Yes, I saw it. And there is no doubt in my mind that the Democrat numbers in NC and other states vis-a-vis early voting are more a reflection of China Virus than extra enthusiasm. I looked at PA mail in requests, which are 3 to 1 Dem/Rep. The Left is orgasmic over these numbers.
The problem: These numbers are extremely top-heavy with voters 50 and older, and especially senior citizens, and extremely light on younger voters. I have found no racial breakdown in PA (probably is none, as only southern states keep track of this data). We still need another week of data to be more certain.


12 posted on 09/29/2020 12:13:32 PM PDT by bort
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