[mainerforglobalwarming]

I agree with your last point. And perhaps things will play the way you suspect. And I’m wrong on my take on things.
At least in the Lewiston/auburn area the poll doesn’t come close to reality, I’m hitting doors for Trump, and having done this for a decade I know when people re telling things I want to hear. He’ll carry Auburn, come close in Lewiston and which means he’ll dominate cd-2. Is that enough to win the state, maybe. And maybe drag Collins to victory.

[Political Junkie Too]

I don't know Maine, but here are some regional poll results:

Vote for Senate:

Region	Sample Size	Collins %	Gideon %
Acadia/Bangor CD2	11%	43	53
Cumberland	25%	27	64
North CD2	19%	58	38
Rest of CD1	29%	48	45
Southwest CD2	17%	49	44

Favorable/Unfavorable:

Region	Sample Size	Collins %	Gideon %
Acadia/Bangor CD2	11%	50/50	57/36
Cumberland	25%	36/59	64/28
North CD2	19%	64/34	43/53
Rest of CD1	29%	46/49	56/40
Southwest CD2	17%	58/39	50/47

Notice how "Rest of CD1" is voting for Collins, but Gideon has the better favorables.

Prefer Control of Senate:

Region	Sample Size	Republicans %	Democrats %
Acadia/Bangor CD2	11%	36	59
Cumberland	25%	27	65
North CD2	27%	56	39
Rest of CD1	29%	41	54
Southwest CD2	17%	51	44

-PJ