I suspect if the “polls” are showing Trump with either a “slight lead” or tied with Biden, he has a massive lead over Biden.
1. Trump supporters do not answer polls.
2. 2016, polls showing Hillary having a 90% chance of winning on the day of the election.
Worse than that: the pollsters STILL haven’t actually factored in the shift in black votes (even 5-10% is huge) and none of them have factored in a 30% decline in D students voting cuz all the campuses are closed.
Student turnout will resemble 2012, not 2018.