A president with a 51% Approval Rating is in their way to victory.
Only if the approval rating is in a long-standing, credible poll whose history can be correlated to Presidential elections for the past several cycles.
The Rasmussen poll is none of those.
I think this is a case of conservatives cherry picking one poll with a short history and dubious credibility that shows Trump doing well, while ignoring a large number of other polls that show him well behind in a 2-way race. We should be more savvy than that.
It’s higher.
I don’t care what Ras or any pollster says. Both Cahaly of Trafalgar and Richard Baris of PPD stated categorically that their efforts at finding Trump voters to go on record is twice as hard this time as it was in 2016. Baris tells me of people who will start an interview saying “I’m going to vote for President Trump but I’m not going to tell a pollster that in the poll.”
I think Trump is at 53% or slightly higher. Beyond that, NO ONE on the DemoKKKrat side has as of yet come to grips with three factors:
*The massive pending shortfall in student votes to 1-1.5m.
*The massive pending shift in the black vote. It may not all go to Trump, but it will either go to Trump or stay home to the tune of 3-4m shift from 2016. This is unheard of and is going to reshape politics like the 1936 election did.
*The recent court decision that denied voting to 1m FL felons. DemoKKKrats were counting on this.
This is in theory a shift of more than 5 million votes that will NOT be on the D side, and up to 3m who will be in Trump’s column.
Well their fake sing song convention did nothing to invite anyone to join them. Gawd it was awful! They were still trying to sooth the wounds of their loss 4 yrs ago! An overall funeral feel!