1980, lost by the guy who said read my lips, then stared at his watch during the debate so he wouldn’t be late for his dinner.
Predictions based on past elections are based on what happened in a different country. Until the mid 70’s the USA was almost 90 percent white. Now non-Hispanic whites are under 65 percent of the country.
Ronald Reagan won statewide in California. Today he would lose there in a landslide.
Demographics are destiny.