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Juan Williams: Trump's base begins to crack
thehill ^ | 07/06/20 | JUAN WILLIAMS

Posted on 07/07/2020 4:54:36 PM PDT by MarvinStinson

Here is a checklist for fans of the “greatest of all presidents.”

Where’s the wall — and is Mexico paying for it?

Where’s the fabulous plan to replace ObamaCare?

Where’s the deal with North Korea to end their nuclear threat?

Where’s the racial healing in retweeting a supporter shouting “white power”?

Oh, didn’t he tell you in February the virus was going to magically disappear and then repeat it to you last week after more than 125,000 Americans died from it?

Now that’s a record of failure.

And here is one more question on empty promises for Trump’s biggest fans, white evangelicals:

Has Trump delivered for you after the Supreme Court’s recent rulings in support of gay rights and abortion rights?

Trump’s standing with evangelicals started fraying before the court’s decisions.

First, the failure to protect the country from the virus hurt him, especially with seniors.

Then evangelicals of all ages saw a lack of Christian empathy in his attacks on people standing together, across racial lines, to protest police brutality. “We’re one race and we need to love each other,” said Pat Robertson, a major evangelical leader.

To shore up his base, Trump is now resorting to open appeals to white racial grievance.

He has retweeted videos of black and white people fighting. Last week, he retweeted a video of a white St. Louis couple holding guns to threaten people marching for racial justice.

Putting fear into his white base — to get them back in line — can be seen in his damning comments on protestors. They are all “thugs,” and “hoodlums,” even as the instances of rioting are few amid overwhelmingly peaceful demonstrations.

Similarly, Trump’s strategy includes demonizing people pulling down statues of Confederate generals. He says they are “terrorists.” He refuses to admit the damage done by ever-present symbols of white supremacy, including the Confederate flag.

So, exactly which white people are the audience for Trump’s acid politics?

Trump won 57 percent of the white vote in 2016. One-third of that support came from white evangelicals. Another 20 percent of Trump’s 2016 base of support came from white Catholics, according to a Pew Research Center analysis.

That means white evangelicals and white Catholics made up half of the people who voted for Trump in 2016.

But now several polls showing Trump losing to Democrat Joe Biden by a substantial margin. The decline is due to sliding support from white evangelicals and white Catholics.

“In March, nearly 80 percent of white evangelicals said they approved of the job Mr. Trump was doing, [according to polling by PRRI],” the New York Times reported in early June.

“But by the end of May, with the country convulsed by racial discord, Mr. Trump’s favorability among white evangelicals had fallen 15 percentage points to 62 percent, according to a PRRI poll,” according to the Times story, by Jeremy W. Peters. The article noted that Trump’s white Catholic support is down 27 points since March.

David Brody, the chief political analyst for the Christian Broadcasting Network, recently told Politico that “any slippage” of Trump’s support among evangelical voters would doom him to defeat in November.

Trump is potentially losing those few percentage points of evangelical support in a nation showing increasing support for the Black Lives Matter movement but also dealing, as Brody put it, with “everything from the coronavirus to George Floyd and Trump calling himself the ‘law and order president.’"

If evangelicals are the target of Trump’s racial grievance strategy, the bull’s-eye on that target are white people without a college degree.

Since the end of May, Trump has lost 15 percentage points of support among whites without a college degree, according to an average of polls by The Washington Post.

He had a 37-percentage point lead among those voters over Hillary Clinton in 2016. It is now down to a 22-point lead over Biden.

There is deadly political consequence for Trump’s reelection bid in those numbers.

The loss of those voters is a big reason behind a June New York Times poll showing Trump and Biden basically tied among white voters.

The RealClearPolitics average of polls shows Biden currently leading Trump in six states Trump won in 2016: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina.

With four months to go before Election Day, all Trump can do now is ask his evangelical supporters to overlook his failures in exchange for more promises, especially continuing to pack the federal courts with conservative judges who are hostile to abortion rights and gay rights.

He thinks that promise will be enough to motivate evangelicals and Catholics to turn out for him.

“You won’t have religious liberty — you won’t have anything,” if Biden wins in November, Trump predicted in a recent interview with his former press secretary Sean Spicer, after highlighting his appointment of “two Supreme Court justices.”

If a few evangelicals decide a few more judges aren’t worth sacrificing their most cherished principles of Christian love and morality, they may end up voting for a white Catholic.

His name is Joe Biden.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2020election; 2ndamendment; abortion; banglist; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2020; genderdysphoria; globalwarminghoax; greennewdeal; homosexualagenda; infanticide; juan; juanwilliams; mediawingofthednc; medicareforall; nra; obamacare; partisanmediashills; presstitutes; secondamendment; smearmachine; thehill; thehillary; theshill
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To: MarvinStinson

Tales of Trump’s base cracking are greatly exaggerated.


21 posted on 07/07/2020 5:00:26 PM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: MarvinStinson
He says they are “terrorists.”

Excellent!

22 posted on 07/07/2020 5:00:54 PM PDT by Fairhairedboy (MAGA)
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To: rovenstinez

Juan became the designated hitter for Alan Colmes when Colmes assumed room temperature.


23 posted on 07/07/2020 5:00:58 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Who could have guessed the Communist Revolution would arrive disguised as the common cold?)
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To: MarvinStinson

Juan’s head cracked a long time ago..NO Trump’s base has NOT cracked..I stand firm with our President..in fact when he gave his speech at Mount Rushmore I was never so proud I stood up and APPLAUDED..he should give that speech over and over and over again!!


24 posted on 07/07/2020 5:01:15 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: MarvinStinson

desperation by liberal Juan

about 30% of the BernieBros will not vote Sleepy Joe... the Dem base is definitely in shambles...

Latinos believe Sleepy Joe is old & sick.


25 posted on 07/07/2020 5:01:31 PM PDT by sheehan (DEPORT ALL ILLEGALS.)
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To: Kickass Conservative

Juan and his minions all wishful thinking. The base is united.


26 posted on 07/07/2020 5:01:45 PM PDT by hsmomx3
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To: Alberta's Child

No confederate statues killed those black kids over the weekend..notice the left refuses to talk about that


27 posted on 07/07/2020 5:01:50 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: MarvinStinson

“Oh, didn’t he tell you in February the virus was going to magically disappear and then repeat it to you last week after more than 125,000 Americans died from it?”

Up to that point Juan had a semi-honest critique going. Trump has not delivered on some major promises. That is mostly due to backstabbing from his own party and some bad advice from within his family. This bit about the virus shows that Juan was going down a prepared list running badorangemancolumn.exe. Juan is a slimeball.


28 posted on 07/07/2020 5:02:11 PM PDT by cdcdawg ("Racist" is just a slur against white people.)
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To: MarvinStinson

No, his strategy is demonize those that have country and are pulling down and vandalizing statues of the great men that founded it.


29 posted on 07/07/2020 5:02:56 PM PDT by Kazan
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To: marron

Biden is not Catholic. And yes, Joe, I dare you to try and shove your rosary beads down my throat.


30 posted on 07/07/2020 5:03:34 PM PDT by frogjerk (We are conservatives. Not libertarians, not "fiscal conservatives", not moderates)
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To: Vision

Juan is on crack!


31 posted on 07/07/2020 5:04:08 PM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: MarvinStinson

Just as with 20-6c these people are out of touch.
The blexit movement and Walkaway movement is on fire.


32 posted on 07/07/2020 5:04:15 PM PDT by HollyB
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To: MarvinStinson

Where indeed, Juan?

Up in impeachment smoke .. like your liberal brain.


33 posted on 07/07/2020 5:04:42 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi - Monthly Donors Rock!!!)
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To: MarvinStinson

It shows Juan William’s intelligence to promote Joe Biden who is as worthless as a potted plant.


34 posted on 07/07/2020 5:04:45 PM PDT by jonrick46 (Cultural Marxism is the cult of the Left waiting for the Mothership.)
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To: MarvinStinson

Juan is an idiot.


35 posted on 07/07/2020 5:04:55 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Trump stands with us to preserve the Republic. Biden submits to those wanting to burn it all down.)
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To: Alberta's Child

so much furor over a stupid flag

better outlaw skull and crossbone flags because pirates raped, pillaged, and delivered slaves.


36 posted on 07/07/2020 5:05:06 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (Joe Biden- "First thing I'd do is repeal those Trump tax cuts." (May 4th, 2019))
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To: MarvinStinson

Come to think of it, we’ve been watching DNC’s “Christian morality” set the world on fire for weeks now.


37 posted on 07/07/2020 5:05:24 PM PDT by marron
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To: MarvinStinson

Nobody has gotten off the Trump train, but a lot more have gotten on. The dems have been trying to separate Trump from his base since he came down the escalator. Not going to happen. Especially now that people have seen him in action.


38 posted on 07/07/2020 5:05:27 PM PDT by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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To: MarvinStinson

They are terrorists!

I’m still voting for him.

MAGA!!!


39 posted on 07/07/2020 5:05:52 PM PDT by a real Sheila (Love my golden retrievers!)
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To: MarvinStinson

Juan has too much white guilt for a black man wanting to belong to the tinsel elite.


40 posted on 07/07/2020 5:06:20 PM PDT by BEJ
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