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To: All

Understand the math. You it’s just the flu guys do not understand the math.

If you were computing pregnancy rate you would not include men in the count of the denominator. They are not relevant to the measurement.

This disease kills almost exclusively the elderly. We have known this for 5 months.

So since 20 year olds are not dying, you don’t have them in the death numerator and if they aren’t in the numerator they don’t belong in the denominator either.

The death count nationwide rose yesterday vs the week before. Only the 2nd week that has happened in the past 4 months. The death count is ending its decline. This doesn’t mean it will rise. It means it will hold constant and not at 0.

If that level is 600 deaths/day it’s an increase in elderly deaths vs a normal year of about 11%.

But regardless, understand the math. Get the young out of the denominator. They aren’t in the numerator so they don’t belong in the denominator.


7 posted on 07/07/2020 8:38:23 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen

No. You include everybody who is exposed to it in the denominator. And if it kills mostly old people in nursing homes, it literally IS the flu, because the flu does exactly the same thing.. Kill old people and those in nursing homes. Every year. Year in and year out.

You only exclude young people who catch it from the denominator if you want to lie and spread panic porn “numbers”.


11 posted on 07/07/2020 8:46:19 AM PDT by Mr. Rabbit
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To: Owen
So since 20 year olds are not dying, you don’t have them in the death numerator and if they aren’t in the numerator they don’t belong in the denominator either.

WTF?
Read this:

Stanford doctor: Coronavirus fatality rate for people under 45 ‘almost 0%’
Washington Examiner ^ | 07/05/2020 |

A very crude estimate might suggest that about 150-300 million or more people have already been infected around the world, far more than the 10 million documented cases.”

Ioannidis pointed out the mortality rate is low among young people who have contracted the virus.

“The death rate in a given country depends a lot on the age structure, who are the people infected, and how they are managed,” Ioannidis said. “For people younger than 45, the infection fatality rate is almost 0%. For 45 to 70, it is probably about 0.05%-0.3%.
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3862161/posts

=======<
“Cases” don't mean much of anything. By far most “cases” are totally asymptomatic. Of course ALL "cases" should and must be in the denominator.
Your attempts at panic porn are getting more desperate and pathetic by the minute. And they are not working.

17 posted on 07/07/2020 9:07:38 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Owen
> Understand the math. You it’s just the flu guys do not understand the math.

I believe you misunderstand us "flubros" in that we understand the math all to well.

Our argument has been from the very beginning of this politically motivated fiasco that the elderly are at risk, and they should be isolated from the general public instead of the destructive and unnecessary current measure of shutting everything down and everyone in.

22 posted on 07/07/2020 9:19:33 AM PDT by SecondAmendment (This just proves my latest theory ... LEFTISTS RUIN EVERYTHING)
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To: Owen
If you were computing pregnancy rate you would not include men in the count of the denominator. They are not relevant to the measurement.


When did pregnancy become a disease?
Have you ever seen the CDC or anybody else exclude young people from the death rates of the flu or cancer or any other disease? You are stark raving cuckoo.
29 posted on 07/07/2020 9:40:04 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Owen

“But regardless, understand the math. Get the young out of the denominator. They aren’t in the numerator so they don’t belong in the denominator.”

And they don’t belong in the lockdowns either. The public or those whichnhave at least ONE functioning brain cell KNOW who is in danger.

In any case to assess an accurate “death rate” the total number of infections needs to be known not just the number of seniors.


33 posted on 07/07/2020 9:55:36 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: Owen

The denominator is the number of people who test positive for the virus. Period.


38 posted on 07/07/2020 12:33:22 PM PDT by lasereye
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