[Political Junkie Too]

I set that indicator based on the probabilities of winning. That will change over time as the polls start coming in.

For the current "Strong R" setting, it is based on the 2016 result of Trump 49% - Clinton 45.5%. With an assumed 5% MOE, that translates into a 78.88% chance of the leader actually winning, which I put into the "Strong" category.

-PJ

[hsmomx3]

I do like what you have written and I sure hope we can give Trump a win from Arizona.