More likely, we will see Nobel Peace Prizes awarded for modeling, ala Paul Krugman, who is always wrong and Al Gore who has made millions off global warming.
The leap folks will need to make is that models, like their ugly sisters, polling, are bunk designed to manipulate rather than inform.
Always wrong but never in doubt
PSSST.
The CDC and WHOstopped counting H1N1 deaths in 2009 once it hit global pandemic status. All deaths from 2009-2010 are estimates/guesses and they settled on the middle estimate between low and high.
Science? don’t look for it from these bureaucratic agencies.