Here’s the thing.
The American people were told that we needed a 15 day, oops 30 day lockdown to “slow the spread” so that hospitals would not be overwhelmed. That was the deal that most people accepted, right or wrong.
Hospitals have not been overwhelmed.
The deal was never to contain, control, or otherwise attempt to reduce the total number of infections.
We simply cannot afford any more of this lockdown. It must end, and the public health apparatus must be directed at making that work.
It may involve social distancing, mask wearing, improved hygiene, and protecting the most vulnerable along with whatever other NPI’s are effective, but the “Clampdown” must end. Now.
If the public health folks don’t get ahead of this, people will simply end it themselves. And that could well result in more sickness than we would otherwise have to endure.
Making matters worse, Neil Ferguson has a HISTORY of really wrong computer models.
Exhibit 1: Bird flu pandemic ‘could kill 150m’
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2005/sep/30/birdflu.jamessturcke
Exhibit 2: up to 50,000 dead from mad cow disease
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2002/jan/09/research.highereducati
Exactly, absalom01.
And the next effort must be to recover from the severe damage this lock down has done to our country.
A lot of issues must be addressed to accomplish that.
1. End the tyranny of the arrogant politicians at all levels exercising petty, unnecessary, ineffective or arbitrary limitations on our liberty.
2. Halt the unbridled growth of unelected but extremely powerful regulators, especially those who failed in their missions to properly prepare this pandemic. Specifically, HHS, NIH, CDC, and FDA all enjoy and are influenced far too much through hidden political and financial connections to the medical, pharmaceutical, and food industries.
3. Specifically examine the published CDC strategy (currently disguised as “Contact Tracing”) but is in reality a huge effort aimed at “vaccination tracking and enforcement”. Not only is this potentially an unconstitutional violation of liberty, it proposes a need for 300,000 additional “administrators” (enforcers).
Actually, that was the initial intent when Trump shut down travel from China in January. As it became clear that the disease managed to get a foothold here anyway, the control measures had to be directly towards the most immediate threat. However, the goal is still and should be to eradicate the disease. We're still in the window where it is possible.
If the public health folks don’t get ahead of this, people will simply end it themselves. And that could well result in more sickness than we would otherwise have to endure.
One of the reasons I am trying so hard to educate people here is that I see that there are quite a few who do not understand the science of disease transmission and control. The public health people are doing a lot to try to control this, but they will fail if enough people believe in unscientific conspiracies and narratives. Because the people who fall for narratives won't do anything to protect themselves or others. Those who do not understand the problem make it worse.