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To: cuban leaf

And the thing is, the lockdown is not a “free” solution. It carries a very high cost. As divorce, suicide, domestic abuse, etc. climb, the cost climbs. And those things have long term and permanent consequences for the living.

Everything we do has a cost, including lifting the shutdowns. If all the shutdowns were lifted tomorrow do you think America would just go back to normal as if nothing had happened? About 20% would, 70% would wait and see, while 10% intend to quarantine themselves indefinitely. So after businesses are allowed to open again they will have the same expenses (utilities, payroll, inventory) with 20% of their customer base showing up. Many businesses will fail regardless of what the government does because there is no magic wand that will restore American spending habits to pre-CV levels.

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article241995696.html

Meanwhile the CV will spread more rapidly among the 20%. Those people will then re-quarantine while the 70%, seeing death and infection rates climb, will keep staying at home. After a temporary boost the economy will crash again and with more Americans in the hospital or morgue it will have a longer and harder recovery. We will end up with the worst of both worlds: both high infection/death rates and a deep recession. Given 2 awful scenarios I'll go with the one that produces fewer American deaths.

GOP governors who open their states now are taking a huge gamble. If a swing state enters the above scenario good luck on persuading the people not to vote Dim.

82 posted on 04/27/2020 2:00:05 PM PDT by FormerFRLurker (Keep calm and vote your conscience.)
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To: FormerFRLurker

HAHAHA! Of course it won’t go back to normal. As I’ve been saying for a couple of weeks now, the damage has been done. The economy is toast. Our economy is like the guy who jumps from a 20 story building and as he passes us here on the 10th floor he yells, “So far, so good” as he enjoys the wind in his hair.

But the pavement is coming up. Give it a couple of months.

America and the western world as we knew it is as good as dead, all because of an overblown response to the flu. It’s amazing, actually.

But my faith is in the Lord, not governments. And life is a mist. It’s not what happens that counts. It’s your response to it.


87 posted on 04/27/2020 6:45:32 PM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: FormerFRLurker

Meanwhile the CV will spread more rapidly among the 20%. Those people will then re-quarantine while the 70%, seeing death and infection rates climb...


...Blah blah blah...
The fear mongering is always about what’s “going to happen”, except it never does. Models keep getting readjusted downward, by orders of magnitude.

It’s just another flu - that affects overwhelmingly the elderly that are already sick. But those that watch a lot of tv commercials are scared to death of the flu. I’ve not had tv since 1997. That may explain why I’m coming at this from a bit more practical perspective. I’m not the least bit afraid of this thing. It’s just the flu as far as I’m concerned. And stats have proven it. Especially when you consider that death stats are being ridiculously overblown. And when you don’t live in NY. ;)


88 posted on 04/27/2020 6:49:35 PM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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