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The Models Were Wrong. Does Anyone Care?
Powerline ^ | 23 April 20 | John Hinderaker

Posted on 04/24/2020 4:21:39 AM PDT by Bruiser 10

Everyone who has been paying attention knows that the epidemiological models on which the current shutdown mania is based have been proved to be wrong, wrong, wrong. Yet, zombie-like, they continue to influence our ill-informed policymakers.

A reader who prefers to remain anonymous despite her apparent qualifications writes:

I just want to follow up yet again on how extraordinarily wrong the projections for hospital demand have been, along with some detail about what’s going on in hospitals. In a number of states they’re about to reopen for nonemergency procedures. But over the past month they’ve been so empty that they’ve been laying off staff.

Here are some details I got from a friend at UNC-Chapel Hill this morning: “Less than 373 hospitalized with COVID as of yesterday. More than 800 empty ICU beds in the state & more than 7000 empty hospital beds overall. Close to 2000 ventilators not in use. Approximately 40% of deaths in the state have been in nursing homes/retirement homes/prisons.”

(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bloggers; coronavirus; fearpersdont; powerlineblog
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Biggest nothing-burger in my lifetime.
1 posted on 04/24/2020 4:21:39 AM PDT by Bruiser 10
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To: Bruiser 10

I think there is something they know and aren’t telling us, like it is a man made virus and released by China to create just what we see.


2 posted on 04/24/2020 4:23:58 AM PDT by stockpirate (Anyone who believes Epstein killed himself is a fool, and the DNC wacked Seth Rich)
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To: Bruiser 10

If the models were wrong, “Why”. Could it be “The Models” didn’t anticipate a scenario in which tens of thousands of infected CHinese flew into this country from Wuhan in the first half of January? Wouldn’t that be more of an “Act of War” than negligence on our part?


3 posted on 04/24/2020 4:24:35 AM PDT by wastoute (Anyone who believes PsyOps are not involved has never met a PsyOps Officer.)
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To: Bruiser 10

The Beltway thinks it’s about one curve. It’s about two.


4 posted on 04/24/2020 4:24:55 AM PDT by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: Bruiser 10
Biggest nothing-burger in my lifetime.

Imagine if we listened to the "experts" about their Global Climate Change models and shut down the entire world's economy just to reduce CO2 emissions.

Maybe the Virus modelers are also secretly Greenies and this was all a big plot to implement their plans one way or the other...

5 posted on 04/24/2020 4:28:05 AM PDT by Yo-Yo ( is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: Bruiser 10

Sometimes models are wrong. It depends on the data you put into them.

Unless you’re a climatologist. Then your model is 100% correct and will never be wrong, and we all need to start driving a Prius right now.


6 posted on 04/24/2020 4:28:51 AM PDT by MAexile (Bats left, votes rights)
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To: Bruiser 10

Garbage In, Garbage Out.


7 posted on 04/24/2020 4:29:39 AM PDT by duckman ( Not tired of winning!)
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To: Bruiser 10

Generals fight the last war and modelers predict the last epidemic. And they’re both wrong.


8 posted on 04/24/2020 4:32:56 AM PDT by Renkluaf
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To: Renkluaf

29 Apr: TechnocracyNews: The Common Roots Of Climate Change And COVID-19 Hysteria
by Patrick Wood
The problem with the global warming meme is that it is a tired, worn-out racehorse that much of the world simply ignores. Global warming alarmists have tried every trick in the book to stampede the world into Sustainable Development. They have knowingly falsified climate data, flooded the world with inaccurate academic reports, held world meetings like the Paris Accord in France, threatened and bullied their critics, created a global youth movement to shame leaders into action, etc. All of these strategies have failed to usher in the UN’s Sustainable Development, aka Technocracy, and show little promise of success in the future.

What the Sustainable Development crowd needed was to put their non-performing racehorse “Global Warming” out to pasture and find a brand new horse that could finally run and win the race to what the UN calls “deep transformation” of the entire global economic system. The new horse is named “COVID-19”. Different horse, same jockey, same race, same finish line.

Imperial College
The President of Imperial College is Professor Alice Gast. She considers the college to be part of a “new paradigm of the global university” that promises to be “a contributor to a better future.” Gast also notes the three general areas of focus of Imperial are “epidemics, shortages of natural resources and environmental crises.” In other words, the environment, natural resources and epidemics are seen as intertwined and inseparable...
Early on in the COVID-19 outbreak, (Neil) Ferguson (Imperial College) began to advise officials in Britain and the United States on the spread of the infection as well as ways to fight it. Thus, he served as both researcher and policy advisor at the same time...

Why do Technocrats not discuss the destruction of Capitalism and Free Enterprise? Because that is their exact goal. When Christiana Figueres was head of Climate Change at the United Nations in 2015. She clearly stated:
“This is probably the most difficult task we have ever given ourselves, which is to intentionally transform the economic development model, for the first time in human history. This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time to change the economic model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the industrial revolution. That will not happen overnight and it will not happen at a single conference on climate change, be it COP 15, 21, 40 – you choose the number. It just does not occur like that. It is a process, because of the depth of the transformation.” (emphasis added)...

Thanks to Neil Ferguson and Imperial College, the entire world has panicked over COVID-19 and worse, leaders have implemented all of their policy recommendations lock, stock and barrel. Meanwhile, the entire global media obediently follows behind, fanning the flames of fear into a raging forest fire...
In the United States, the primary agent of panic has been the highly-esteemed Dr. Anthony Fauci who also has close ties to the World Health Organization...

The main point of this article is to establish the “panic of 2020” as a Technocrat operation so that Sustainable Development, aka Technocracy, can be quickly moved forward if not completely ushered in...
https://www.technocracy.news/the-common-roots-of-climate-change-and-covid-19-hysteria/

World Health Organisation’s special envoy for Covid-19, David Nabarro:

Wikipedia: David Nabarro
David Nabarro is a medical doctor, international civil servant and diplomat, who served as special adviser to the United Nations (UN) Secretary-General on the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and Climate Change...

Nabarro transferred to the Sustainable Development and Healthy Environments cluster in 2003 and was appointed representative of the DG for health action in crises in July 2003...
Chair of the Advisory Group on Reform of the World Health Organization’s Work in Outbreaks and Emergencies with Health and Humanitarian Consequences., July 2015 – January 2016...
Special adviser to the United Nations Secretary-General on the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and Climate Change, January 2016–June 2017...

On Tuesday 23 May, at the 70th World Health Assembly, Nabarro came second in the race to become the next director general, receiving 50 votes to Dr Tedros Adhanom’s 133 in the third and final round of voting...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Nabarro


9 posted on 04/24/2020 4:40:46 AM PDT by MAGAthon
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To: MAGAthon

21 Apr: Climate Depot: Climate activist scientists including Michael Mann, Paul Ehrlich & John Holdren endorse Biden for Prez because he will ‘confront the existential climate crisis’
https://www.climatedepot.com/2020/04/21/climate-activist-scientists-including-michael-mann-paul-ehrlich-john-holdren-endorse-biden-for-prez-because-he-will-confront-the-existential-climate-crisis/

Tweet: Michael E. Mann, Climate Scientist, Professor & Director of the Penn State ESSC; Author of Dire Predictions, The Hockey Stick & the Climate Wars, and The Madhouse Effect
Proud, on the eve of this 50th anniversary of #EarthDay, to join with numerous fellow scientists in endorsing @JoeBiden for president. Read our letter: documentcloud.org/documents/6843… #EarthDay2020 pic.twitter.com/1VG3HzdpKf
10:29 AM - 21 Apr 2020
https://mobile.twitter.com/MichaelEMann/status/1252650720257589249

23 Apr: Breitbart: U.N.’s Guterres: Post-Coronavirus World to Embrace Climate Action, Carbon Neutrality
by Simon Kent; AP contributed to this report
U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said Thursday the post-coronavirus world will have to embrace many changes, among them “enhancing climate action aiming at carbon neutrality by 2050 and protecting biodiversity.”...
https://www.breitbart.com/health/2020/04/23/u-n-s-guterres-post-coronavirus-world-to-embrace-climate-action-carbon-neutrality/


10 posted on 04/24/2020 4:41:23 AM PDT by MAGAthon
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To: Bruiser 10

Thank the Bill Gates and what not for this bull sht

And they want us to trust globul warming


11 posted on 04/24/2020 4:41:45 AM PDT by JudgemAll (Democrats Fed. job-security in hatse:hypocrites must be gay like us or be tested/crucified)
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To: Yo-Yo

I am convinced it was a scam pushed by Chicom WHO and Gates


12 posted on 04/24/2020 4:42:41 AM PDT by JudgemAll (Democrats Fed. job-security in hatse:hypocrites must be gay like us or be tested/crucified)
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To: MAGAthon

Bankrupt companies, predate on them by nationalization and letting China buy them out to instore communism... and the latter will pay in the gold they hoarded.

But the capitalists are the predators...


13 posted on 04/24/2020 4:46:26 AM PDT by JudgemAll (Democrats Fed. job-security in hatse:hypocrites must be gay like us or be tested/crucified)
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To: Bruiser 10

The economic calamity isn’t nothing burger. $4T in robbing the treasury isn’t a nothing burger.


14 posted on 04/24/2020 4:48:17 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: Bruiser 10
Not just wrong....deliberately exaggerated. That is how Dr. Fauci and Scarf Lady got to be Chief God & Goddess and it's the same team that worked on HIV together.

And in 1996, Fauci promised a vaccine for HIV...and that still hasn't happened.

This seems to be following the same pattern. This is how Fauci keeps himself in business....preparing false statistics and just keeps on running with more false statistics.

15 posted on 04/24/2020 4:51:13 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Bruiser 10

Models represent an ideal. If you decide to apply a certain model ( there are usually many to choose form ) as a plan of action and then don’t constantly up date to reflect changing real world situation then it is intellectually dishonest, lazy and DANGEROUS!!!


16 posted on 04/24/2020 4:52:43 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: wastoute
The consensus is that they passed it to Europe and Europe brought it here. We didn't stop incoming from Europe for another month after stopping incoming from China.

AQnd there it is....President Trump was given false information and acted accordingly. Had he known the true story, he would have shut down ALL incoming from Europe and Asia.

17 posted on 04/24/2020 4:54:03 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Sacajaweau; wastoute

This is a big black mark on the medical community. Especially doctors who used be thought of as intelligent and possessing a great deal of “horse” sense, common sense if you will. Man did the Great Corona Hoax dispel that myth.


18 posted on 04/24/2020 4:56:54 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: central_va

24 Apr: Climate Home: UN development chief calls for green shift away from ‘irrational’ oil dependence
Governments, at a fork in the road because of the Covid-19 pandemic, should ‘insert the DNA’ of a low-carbon future into stimulus packages, says Achim Steiner
by Alister Doyle
Achim Steiner, head of the UN Development Programme (UNDP) said the pandemic would transform societies. It would be impossible simply to reactivate the pre-Covid-19 global economy in the way that billion-dollar bailouts helped revive growth after the 2008 financial crisis.
“It’s a kind of a fork in the road for every country,” he told Climate Home News in a video interview from New York, adding that developing nations were especially vulnerable. “You have an opportunity to either invest in returning to yesterday’s economy or to invest into tomorrow’s economy.”...

“You can’t talk a terrible crisis into a rosy opportunity,” he said. “We need to now have governments and markets design their strategy of exiting from fossil fuels over a period of probably 50 years, but with increasing and accelerating pace.”...

This week, the International Renewable Energy Agency (Irena) estimated a deep decarbonisation of the world economy by 2050 requires total energy investment up to $130 trillion...
https://www.climatechangenews.com/2020/04/24/un-development-chief-calls-green-shift-away-irrational-oil-dependence/


19 posted on 04/24/2020 4:58:57 AM PDT by MAGAthon
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To: Bruiser 10

Except it’s not a nothingburger. It’s been the means for revolutionary heist of power by wannabe dictators and a willful destruction of the global economy.


20 posted on 04/24/2020 5:00:02 AM PDT by NohSpinZone (First thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers)
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