Using the current deaths/million from this site,
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1104709/coronavirus-deaths-worldwide-per-million-inhabitants/
you get about 13,000 deaths in the US at 39.39 deaths/million. That compares with about 14,000 deaths in Spain, which only has 46.75 million people, but a current rate of 300/million. If the US rate approaches Spain’s, we could lose 100,000.
We may have been seriously hoodwinked, but won’t know for several weeks.