Posted on 04/05/2020 2:52:56 AM PDT by DoughtyOne
Seems there could be a couple of ways to look at it. If the virus was a herd there looks to be a lot of green pasture left. Globally. The reason IMHO we are “worst hit” is statistical. Most countries can’t do near the testing we do.
I agree with your green pasture comment. The interesting
thing is though, these things don’t seem to continue
grazing even though there is pasture left.
We just don’t see anything approaching 50-100%, when viruses
like this come knocking at our nation’s door, break in, and
have their way.
As for testing, we are showing some very large numbers to be
sure, but my take on it is that per capita, we have not done
nearly the testing other nations have.
I welcome anyone who has another view on that.
I don’t mind being corrected.
It stands to reason that like all epidemics it will top out when between 40 and 60% of the population will encounter the virus.
Informative 10 minute video from a Dr. on the front lines in NYC. Wash your hands, don’t touch your face, and social distance.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qwx3JMRTz8U
I just don’t think it is possible even with our tech and logistics to do testing and “catch up” to the virus in real time. So we really will never know what # of new cases today is. It just can’t be done.
Thanks. I wasn’t aware of that figure.
Do you know what the H1N1 infection rate was?
Bookmark
From April 12, 2009 to April 10, 2010, CDC estimated there
were 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274,304
hospitalizations (range: 195,086-402,719), and 12,469 deaths
(range: 8868-18,306) in the United States due to the
(H1N1)pdm09 virus.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html
Not offhand. Offhand I don’t know a “figure” for any epidemic. For me #s are just a way to describe behavior. You may know how many bones are in a giraffe’s neck, I don’t. I know they are tall.
The CDC’s early screw ups really put us behind the curve on testing. Hopefully that is about to be remedied in a big way and we can catch up.
Good article on this from the MIT Technology Review.
Why the CDC botched its coronavirus testing
The first testing kits from the Centers for Disease Control had a simple fault, and red tape prevented other labs from creating their own.
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615323/why-the-cdc-botched-its-coronavirus-testing/
I keep reading “The CDC screwed up on testing”? What does that mean? They were supposed to detect an epidemic in some new hi tech way that is better than the “old fashioned way?” When people start dropping dead?
You mean per capita testing we have not done as much. In sheer #s we have smoked the world and I don’t think we have nearly “caught up” to what’s out there.
I realize that.
What we have is a reference point that isn’t iron clad.
We can’t change that. This is all we have.
I do think our government and health care institutions are
trying to keep tabs on what is going on.
In China by contrast, I think they scooped people up and
got rid of them without documentation.
I don’t think that sort of thing will happen here.
As you mention, it’s just impossible to capture all the
data.
What you touch on is what prompted me not to be quite as
critical of China as some others were.
Yes, China hid things and I’m pretty sure they did some
stuff civilized nation’s don’t do. None the less, we know
you can’t capture all the data.
We can’t do it either.
I’ve been trying to tell people that for days now. The “new testing” the CDC is doing isn’t so much to “see where the virus is” but more to “see where resources are needed”. At first glance those may seem to be the same thing but they really aren’t. If all you want to know is where resources are needed you only need a fraction of the testing. IMHO.
I think the CDC is kind of using the old, “But the other parents let their kids...”, type of excuses here.
Center for Disease Control
It’s their job one. FAIL!
Can you please add me to your Ping list?
bookmark
Go see my post here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3831688/posts?page=32#32
for some insight into priorities at the CDC for the last 10 years.
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