[JediJones]

Stop posting your bogus stats. You aren’t including South Korea which has the single most accurate statistic because they’ve had the most widespread testing. And they are right around the 1 and a fraction percent this article states. But this article is absolutely right that the true death rate absolutely has to go down once asymptomatic cases are factored in.

[DannyTN]

S.Korea’s CFR has risen to 1.7% (162 deaths / 9786 known cases) and yes, they’ve done a ton of testing so their Case numbers will reflect more asymptomatic cases than others.

SK is not in my numbers because I only posted the countries with the largest case counts. SKorea’s aggressive testing and containment has kept them out of the top tier.

[kabar]

Stop posting your bogus stats. You aren’t including South Korea which has the single most accurate statistic because they’ve had the most widespread testing.

Most testing per capita for now. South Korea has a population of 51 million. The US is six times larger. ROK tested 400k. The US has tested 1 million. When the US reaches 2.4 million, it will equal ROK in per capita testing and then zoom past the ROK.

Some food for thought: Japan uses targeted coronavirus testing; South Korea goes big. The U.S. faces a choice.

ROK has had 3 deaths per million of population, Japan 0.4. The reported first case of the virus in the ROK was January 19. In Japan it was January 14. Why aren't more people looking at Japan? Or Hong Kong which has similar numbers to Japan?

[Svartalfiar]

Stop posting your bogus stats. You aren’t including South Korea which has the single most accurate statistic because they’ve had the most widespread testing. And they are right around the 1 and a fraction percent this article states. But this article is absolutely right that the true death rate absolutely has to go down once asymptomatic cases are factored in.

SKorea has had the most widespread testing out of any bigger country (only Bahrain is better, but they're too small to be very accurate for worldly extrapolation). So their incidence rate of asymptomatic carriers wandering the populace should be much lower than ours here or anywhere else. They will have found the majority of those people already, who are therefore mostly reflected in the 'total' and 'recovered' numbers.

Per Johns Hopkins numbers, they currently have 165 deaths and 5567 recoveries, out of 9887 cases so far. This gives us:
Current mortality rate: 2.88%
Best-Case CFR: 1.67%

If we assume even a 20% asymptomatic, unknown carriers, which is probably what the general populace is elsewhere, but we'll use it here, we get:
Current mortality rate: 2.40%
Best-Case CFR: 1.39%