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To: CodeJockey
Seems to be a flawed comparison. If it we not for the seasonal flu vaccine how many more infections/ deaths wold there be? 10x? 100?

Not even close. Influenza barely kills anyone as it is, and the flu vaccine doesn't even do anything one out of three, maybe four years? It's just a guess as to what strains are in the vaccine, And if they guess wrong, then the vaccine is basically useless. Less than useless, from all the complications/flu it causes. Even when they guess right, or half-right, the vaccines are grown in chicken eggs, where it mutates and isn't an exact match for the estimated strain. If they get a 40-50% success, it's considered a really good year. Not to mention, most years just under half the US population even gets it. So removing the vaccine wouldn't even affect 165MM people.

So no flu vaccine, you probably might see a doubling of cases, but definitely not 10x or 100x fewer.

For the Wuhan virus, though, an actual vaccine should be much more effective than the flu's. For this particular coronavirus, you don't have all the subtypes that flu does. There's one, with slight mutations as it spreads. Flu has four different types, A, B, C, and D. (Although C does almost nothing, and D doesn't infect humans.) A has nearly 200 combinations of H# and N# (one has 11 options, the other has 18), and while not all of those infect humans or are even found to exist naturally, any given one also has multiple strains within that particular H#N#. Flu B also has a couple different groups, but not nearly as big a family as A.

BUT, how many people are going to be willing to take a coronavirus vaccine? IF it's the potential one developed in China? No one with any sense will take it. If it's one rushed out in the midst of the panic? Any somewhat smart person will definitely want to wait to see what it does to all the dumb people. I think right now our best bet is the quinine treatment, with remdesivir or the other treatments going for people who can't take quinine, or for whom it doesn't work.
107 posted on 04/01/2020 8:15:15 AM PDT by Svartalfiar
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To: All

Kids gather round and I’ll tell you the story of the great corona virus scare of 2020, that’s when grandpa went off to the camps for fifteen years because he wore a red hat and ...


108 posted on 04/01/2020 8:59:21 AM PDT by Peter ODonnell ("These measures are voluntary, unless you choose to do otherwise. Then we can enforce them." (okay))
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