In general, hospitalizations, critical status and death are all lagging indicators that follow "new cases" anywhere from a few days to 3 or more weeks. At our current point in South Korea, they were about 0.7% fatalities. They are now 1.5%, and if their trend continues they will reach 2.4%. So far, we are not doing as well as SK. Basically, don't hang your hopes on early numbers.
How long till we can go back to work like Americans Pearl clutcher ?