The ONLY thing certain right now is the Chinese economy is in free fall. However, all the rest of this story is “expected to” “could”, “may well”, etc.
It is just as Pres. Trump said last night. We don’t know.
Still, if you ask me, the greatest danger of dying of this disease is if you are Chinese, smoke cigarettes, and live in full of coal smoke cities. Compute the death rate all you want, but those factors still seem to be some of the strongest in whether you live or die.
If people want to know the real reason that the infected in China had such a drastic resounse, read this:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22536382
People who received the vaccine for SARS-CoV in 2002 were left susceptible to a massive over response after re-infection.
The SARs epidemic in 2002 was caused by a CoronaVirus. That virus is a cousin to the current CoronaVirus COVID-19
Uh, maybe because it broke out and has infected the most people so far that happen to live in Chinese cities. Extrapolating that to non-Chinese territory makes no sense.
Burn one about 4-6 times a year.